* Oil prices already in danger zone for economy, fuel demand
* IEA members could release stocks to cover any outages
* Turmoil in MidEast, North Africa may push prices even
higher
(Adds details, quote)
By Neil Chatterjee and Alfian
JAKARTA, Feb 22 (Reuters) - High oil prices pose a danger
for a global economic recovery and industrialised countries
stand ready to release oil from stockpiles to meet Middle East
supply disruptions, the IEA's chief economist said on Tuesday.
U.S. crude futures hit a 2-1/2 year high on Tuesday
as violence in Libya led one oil company there to shut in
100,000 barrels per day (bpd) of the country's 1.6 million bpd
output.
Investors fear further disruption both in Libya and beyond
as protests grip the North Africa and the Middle East, the
world's top oil producing region.
High oil prices were detrimental to the interests of both
consumers and producers as they could derail economic growth and
curtail fuel demand, the International Energy Agency's Fatih
Birol said.
"Oil prices are a serious risk for the global economic
recovery," Birol told reporters on the sidelines of an energy
conference in Indonesia on Tuesday. The IEA is adviser to 28
industrialised nations on energy policy.
"The global economic recovery is very fragile -- especially
in OECD countries," Birol said, adding that oil prices had
entered a "danger zone" for the recovery at above $90 a barrel.
Brent traded near $108 a barrel on
Tuesday, while U.S. oil traded above $94.
The political turmoil that has swept across the
Middle East and North Africa could push prices even higher,
Birol said.
The rising cost of oil would weaken the trade balances of
industrialised countries, add to inflation and put pressure on
central banks to adjust interest rates, he added.
If oil prices average $100 a barrel, the world's third
largest economy Japan would be spending 3 percent of its GDP
alone on oil imports, Birol said.
The IEA has a mandate to ask its members, the nations that
belong to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD), to release oil stocks in the case of
emergency supply disruption.
It rarely opens the taps but released oil product
stocks in 2005 when Hurricane Katrina crippled U.S. Gulf oil
operations.
"If they think there is a need to do so, they may well
decide to release those stocks in order to cover the markets, if
there is a physical disruption," Birol told Reuters in an
interview, referring to 1.6 billion barrels of emergency oil
stocks held by IEA members.
He said those stocks were sufficient to cover several supply
disruptions.
Birol declined to comment on whether he thought OPEC should
boost output to soften high prices and ease concern about
potential outages.
"I'm sure if there is a need they will do something," he
told Reuters.
Top oil exporter Saudi Arabia stood ready to pump more oil
if needed, Birol said, before rushing to catch a flight to
Riyadh, where energy ministers from consuming and producing
countries were due to meet on Tuesday.
The kingdom is the only producer with significant spare
capacity to meet any large global supply outage.
"Saudi Arabia is doing an excellent job in terms of showing
their readiness to act if necessary," he said. "It is the right
policy and I would like to see this policy continue."
(Writing by Simon Webb; Editing by Ed Lane)
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