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OPINION

The Great Exodus: Why Financial Are Fleeing NYC

The Great Exodus: Why Financial Are Fleeing NYC
Miami view from Key Biscayne. (Giovanni Gagliardi/Dreamstime)

George Mentz By Tuesday, 07 April 2026 03:19 PM EDT Current | Bio | Archive

As a wealth management lawyer, growing up around New Orleans which was the “Gateway to Latin America”, I have always known that the Global South would be important to the international economy.

Further, as a student of wealth management law and international law, we all know that business thrives where there is minimal frivolous top-down & authoritarian restrictions, lower taxes, and less fees and regulations. 

For more than a century, New York and Chicago defined American finance.

But the center of gravity is shifting — fast. A structural migration of financial talent, firms, and capital is underway, and it’s not driven by culture or weather. It’s driven by math.

Across the last two decades, high-tax, high-regulation states like New York and Illinois have steadily lost financial workers, while Texas, Florida, and Tennessee have become magnets for both firms and professionals.

The data is unambiguous: this is not a temporary pandemic-era blip. It’s a long-term reallocation of capital toward jurisdictions with lower taxes, lighter regulatory burdens, and dramatically lower operating costs.

Texas: The New #2 Financial Hub

Dallas–Fort Worth has quietly become the second‑largest financial center in the United States. Over the last 20 years:

  • Texas financial employment grew 111%
  • New York grew only 16%
  • Illinois stagnated

Major firms have already voted with their feet:

  • Goldman Sachs is building a massive Dallas campus
  • JPMorgan Chase now employs more people in Texas than in New York
  • Wells Fargo is expanding in the state
  • Charles Schwab moved its headquarters to Texas
  • A Texas Stock Exchange, backed by major institutional investors, is launching this year.

This isn’t symbolic. It’s infrastructure. Texas is building the ecosystem that New York once monopolized.

Miami: The New #1 Latin American Financial Hub

At the same time, an ever-expanding South American financial corridor is emerging across the Sun Belt, anchored by cities like Miami, Austin, and Houston—often described as a rising “Latin Wall Street.”

\Fueled by capital inflows from across Latin America, this ecosystem is being built by family offices, private banks, fintech firms, and cross-border advisors seeking stable jurisdictions and scalable growth.

Latin American wealth increasingly prefers to be positioned in markets with minimal sovereign risk, strong property rights, and predictable legal systems, making U.S. hubs especially attractive.

Miami has become the gateway to the Americas, drawing capital from Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, while Austin and Houston combine pro-business climates with strength in technology, energy, and trade. Together, these cities are forming a powerful, multicultural financial network that is reshaping the geography of wealth, investment, and global dealmaking.

I still remember visiting the “Bolsa” or Stock Exchange in Madrid in 1996 while studying international law, and it was very old school with traders still smoking on the floor with notepads in their hands.  However, today’s Global South continues to expand from Florida to Texas with the “Southern Exchange” or  “La Bolsa Sur” growing very quickly.

Population and Capital Flight

The financial workforce is following the money.

  • New York lost $111 billion in income due to outbound migration
  • Illinois continues to lose working‑age residents
  • Texas, Florida, and Tennessee are gaining both population and high‑earning professionals

The pattern is consistent: mobile capital and mobile talent leave when the tax and regulatory structure becomes punitive.

The Tax Differential: A Simple, Brutal Equation

For a professional earning $200,000, the difference between New York City and a no‑income‑tax state is staggering.

State and Local Income Tax

  • New York State: up to 10.9%, but about 9.8 for this taxpayer.
  • NYC add‑on: 3.876%
  • Total NYC burden: ~13.8%
  • Florida, Texas, Tennessee: 0%

Annual Impact on a $200K Worker

  • NY/NYC taxes: ≈ $26,500 per year, but with Trump’s SALT tax deduction, down to about $20,000.
  • FL/TX/TN taxes: $0

Annual savings: $25,000–$30,000 10‑year wealth impact (invested): $400,000–$500,000+

For a mid‑career professional, this is not a lifestyle choice. It’s a retirement‑changing delta.

Why Companies Are Leaving: The Cost Stack

For a mid‑sized financial firm with 50 employees earning $200K each (a $10M payroll), the cost differential is even more dramatic.

1. Corporate Taxes

  • New York: ~6.5% plus local surcharges
  • Illinois (Chicago): ~9.5% combined
  • Texas: 0.375–0.75% gross receipts tax
  • Florida: 5.5%
  • Tennessee: 6.5% but no wage tax

2. Payroll and Compliance Costs

New York and Chicago impose heavier payroll taxes, insurance requirements, and compliance burdens.

  • Extra cost in NY/Chicago: 8–12% of payroll
  • Annual burden: $800K–$1.2M

Texas and Florida slash that dramatically, often saving $500K–$1M+ per year.

3. Real Estate and Operating Costs

Office space, insurance, and regulatory overhead are all materially lower in the South.

  • Savings: $200K–$1M+ depending on footprint

Total Annual Savings for a Mid‑Size Firm

$700,000 to $2,000,000+ per year

That is not a rounding error. It is a fiduciary obligation.

Chicago: The Same Story, Different Branding

Illinois faces many of the same structural issues as New York:

  • High corporate tax
  • High property taxes
  • Rising insurance and liability costs
  • Outmigration of working‑age residents

The result is predictable: firms are leaving Chicago for the same states attracting New York’s financial diaspora.

Jamie Dimon at the Hill & Valley Forum on business migration trends:

“The Manhattan headcount was about 30,000+ when I arrived at JPMorgan Chase—today it’s closer to 24,000. Meanwhile, in Texas, we’ve grown from roughly 11,000 employees to over 33,000. That shift speaks for itself.

“Companies are responding to fundamentals: higher individual taxes, higher estate taxes, higher corporate taxes, and a broader anti-business climate.

“When I was growing up in New York City, there were around 120 Fortune 500 headquarters based there. By the 1970s, about half had already left—companies like Exxon, GE, IBM, and Union Carbide. Today, many of those movements are continuing toward places like Texas.”

Boomers and Pensions

To make things worse for New York, California,  Illinois, and other Blue States, the share of the U.S. population age 65 and older rose from about 12.4% in 2000 (roughly 1 in 8 Americans) to around 13.0–13.1% in 2010, increased more sharply to 16.8% by 2020 (about 1 in 6), and is estimated to reach approximately 17.7–18.0% by 2025. 

These people will leave with their retirement dollars to make their pension stretch further to states with less income tax, less sales taxes, and states that have statutory reductions in taxes on pensions.

Many of the most retirement‑friendly states for military and civilian pensions are those with no state income tax, including Alaska, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, and Wyoming , all of which fully exempt military retirement pay.

  In addition, a large group of states with income tax still fully exempt military pensions, such as Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Connecticut, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia, and Wisconsin , making them effectively low‑tax for military retirees. [i]

Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky (for some pensions), Maryland, Montana, New Mexico, Oregon, Vermont, and Virginia all tax pensions but allow partial exemptions up to specific dollar limits or age‑based thresholds. . [ii]

The Bottom Line: This Is Capital Reallocation

The “Y’all Street” movement is not cultural. It is economic.

  • High‑tax states lose mobile capital
  • Low‑tax states attract it
  • Firms follow cost efficiency
  • Workers follow after‑tax income

A $200K professional can gain $25K–$30K per year by relocating. A mid‑sized firm can save $700K–$2M annually. Over a decade, the compounding effect is both brutally obvious and transformative.

This is not an exodus. It is a rational rebalancing of the American financial map — and the South is winning.

_______________
Commissioner George Mentz JD MBA CILS CWM® holds a Doctor of Jurisprudence (JD), and an MBA from ABA and AACSB Accredited programs. Mentz is the first in the USA to rank as a Top 50 Influencer & Thought Leader in: Management, PM, HR, FinTech, EdTech, Wealth Management, and B2B according to Onalytica.com and Thinkers360.com. George Mentz JD MBA CILS is a CWM Chartered Wealth Manager ®, global speaker - educator, tax-economist, international lawyer and CEO of the GAFM Global Academy of Finance & Management ®.


 


[i] Military Retirement Tax by State 2026 (All 50 States)

[ii] Pension Tax By State - Retired Public Employees Association

© 2026 Newsmax Finance. All rights reserved.


GeorgeMentz
As a wealth management lawyer, growing up around New Orleans which was the "Gateway to Latin America", I have always known that the Global South would be important to the international economy.
new york, taxes, california, texas, florida, republican, democrat, quality of life
1355
2026-19-07
Tuesday, 07 April 2026 03:19 PM
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