Tags: housing | starts | building permits | economy

Housing Starts Surge to Seven-Year High as Permits Climb

Tuesday, 19 May 2015 10:46 AM EDT

New residential construction in the U.S. surged in April to the highest level in more than seven years, indicating the industry regained its footing after the soft patch at the beginning of the year.

Housing starts jumped 20.2 percent to a 1.14 million annualized rate, the most since November 2007, from a 944,000 pace in March, a Commerce Department report showed Tuesday in Washington. The median forecast of 83 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was 1.02 million. More permits, a proxy for future construction, were issued than at any time since June 2008.

An improving labor market and mortgage costs close to multi-year lows are reviving residential construction, a sign that the weakness in early 2015 was probably due to harsh winter weather. Builders including PulteGroup Inc. have said the spring selling season is off to a good start, and sentiment data for May showed developers are optimistic about the next six months.

“Homebuilding is finally finding its rhythm,” Ryan Sweet, senior economist at Moody’s Analytics Inc. in West Chester Pennsylvania, said before the report. “With the job market tightening, wages showing subtle signs of improvement, and borrowing costs at historical lows, we should see a solid pickup in the second half.”

Estimates in the Bloomberg survey of economists ranged from 955,000 to 1.2 million. The prior month’s pace was previously reported as 926,000.

Last month’s 20.2 percent jump in starts was the biggest since February 1991. Construction slumped 16.7 percent in February as harsh weather prevent developers from starting new projects.

Annual Revision

The Commerce Department also issued its annual revision to the construction data which affected the numbers back to January 2013.

Permits increased to a 1.14 million annualized rate, a sign construction will remain strong this month. They were projected to climb to a 1.06 million pace after 1.04 million the prior month, according to the survey median.

The surge in housing starts last month was paced by single- family projects in the West and multifamily in the Northeast, pointing to broad-based gains in the industry.

Construction of single-family houses in all the U.S. jumped 16.7 percent to a 733,000 rate, the most since January 2008.

Work on multi-family homes, such as townhouses and apartment buildings, climbed 27.2 percent to an annual rate of 402,000.

Broad-Based Gain

Three of four regions showed gains, led by the Northeast and West. The South was the only area with a decline.

Homebuilder confidence dipped in May, a report from the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo showed Monday. The figures showed measures of sales and buyer traffic dropped, while a gauge of the six-month outlook for purchases advanced.

PulteGroup Inc., the third-largest U.S. homebuilder, is among companies that are optimistic this year, citing the improving outlook for employment and low borrowing costs.

“Given the acceleration in U.S. housing demand in the early stage of the spring selling season, our expectations are that the strengthening of demand is sustainable and should drive better new home sales for all of 2015,” Chief Executive Officer Richard Dugas said on an earnings conference call on April 23.

PulteGroup reported on the same day that while first- quarter orders rose from a year earlier, its profit fell on higher income tax expenses, acquisition costs and construction delays that slowed home closings.

Sales Mixed

The latest data available on house sales show a mixed picture. Purchases of previously owned homes jumped in March by the most in four years, while those of new dwellings, a smaller part of the market, fell to a four-month low.

Some companies are stepping up efforts to draw in more first-time buyers. D.R. Horton Inc., the largest U.S. homebuilder by revenue, in April said its entry-level Express Homes division may make up a greater share of sales, putting pressure on profit margins. The company also said earnings in the second quarter ended March 31 rose as sales increased.

An improving labor market will help sustain demand. Payrolls climbed by 223,000 in April after a 85,000 gain the prior month, according to Labor Department data. The jobless rate fell to 5.4 percent, the lowest since May 2008.

Borrowing costs have stayed low. The average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage was 3.85 percent in the week ended May 14, close to the level at the start of 2015 and below last year’s high of 4.53 percent reached in early January 2014, according to data from Freddie Mac in McLean, Virginia.

Recent economic data, including retail sales that were little changed in April and a plunge in the University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment index in May, have raised concern that second quarter growth may not pick up after the economy almost stalled in the first three months of 2015.

Gross domestic product may grow at a 2.7 percent annualized rate this quarter, down from the 3.1 percent forecast in April, according to the median estimate in a survey conducted by Bloomberg from May 8 to May 13.

Residential investment has contributed 0.1 percentage point to economic growth on average over the past four quarters.


© Copyright 2025 Bloomberg News. All rights reserved.


Economy
New residential construction in the U.S. surged in April to the highest level in more than seven years, indicating the industry regained its footing after the soft patch at the beginning of the year.
housing, starts, building permits, economy
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2015-46-19
Tuesday, 19 May 2015 10:46 AM
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