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* Citigroup looks to draw down liquid assets by $35 billion
* Move would follow recent reduction of $67 billion
* Funds on tap have exceeded requirement by nearly half
* Executives more confident in strength of company, Europe
* Citigroup's liquidity measure stronger than JPMorgan's
By David Henry
NEW YORK, March 27 (Reuters) - Citigroup Inc is
considering cutting its cash on hand by about $35 billion, which
should help the bank buy higher yielding assets or redeem
expensive debt to boost earnings.
Making the change will signal that the management of the
third-largest U.S. bank by assets, which had to be rescued three
times by the U.S. government in the financial crisis, is
increasingly confident that its worst troubles are well behind
it.
The move could give a 2 percent boost to Citigroup's bottom
line this year and keep the bank's lending margins relatively
strong even as competitors suffer from low interest rates.
The bank has enough liquid assets to cover an estimated 37
days of the cash drain expected in a scenario of acute stress
under pending new regulations, based on Citi's financial reports
through December. Treasurer Eric Aboaf and other executives
would like to reduce that to about 33 days of coverage, or 10
percent more than is to be required under the new international
rules known as the Basel III liquidity coverage ratio.
"In the framework of managing a company efficiently, that
would be a good thing to do" over the next year or so, Aboaf
told Reuters in an interview.
While the move would reduce the bank's pool of cash and
liquid assets by about 10 percent, Citigroup would still have 10
percent more liquidity than regulators say they will demand.
JPMorgan Chase & Co, which analysts and investors often
see as a stronger bank than Citigroup, is below the pending
regulatory minimum.
Citigroup may feel more confident, but the bank is also
leaving itself a little more vulnerable to big swings in markets
and economies around the world. Cash on hand is critical for
staving off runs on the bank during bad times.
The Federal Reserve has not commented publicly on
Citigroup's liquidity, but earlier in March it approved the
company's capital plan as strong enough to withstand a stress
test. The U.S. regulator is part of the international body that
has drafted the new liquidity requirement that Citigroup
exceeds.
"At the moment it is appropriate for Citi to take down their
cash, but if we end up with very volatile capital markets and
Citi is caught in that, then people will start to question
them," said Charles Peabody of Portales Partners, a research
firm for institutional investors.
Given Citi's huge problems in recent years it might seem
surprising that it has so much leeway to reduce cash. By
contrast JPMorgan, which maneuvered through the financial crisis
less scathed than most major U.S. banks, has estimated it is 17
percent short of the expected Basel III levels, which are to be
phased in by 2019.
Citigroup has had to be more conservative than JPMorgan
because investors and regulators were less confident in it, but
Citi's fortunes have turned, thanks in part to the U.S. housing
market stabilizing.
During the financial crisis, while Citigroup struggled to
survive, the U.S. authorities turned to JPMorgan to help them
salvage failed financial institutions.
Even as recently as a year ago, Moody's Investors Service
cut Citigroup's ratings as part of a broader financial services
review globally. In March of last year, the Federal Reserve
publicly rejected Citigroup's capital plan. It was a blow to
confidence in the bank, as well as a sign of Citigroup's
strained relationships with regulators. Executives at Citigroup
had other reasons to be cautious too, including the European
debt crisis, and the bank's portfolio of troubled mortgage
assets left from the financial crisis.
But in recent months, the tide has turned. The bank has
changed its leadership, pushing out Vikram Pandit and bringing
in Michael Corbat, who has been assiduously building bridges
with regulators. With the U.S. housing market starting to
recover, the bank's losses on its portfolio of bad assets are
abating, and the bank passed the Fed's stress test this year. In
fact, that test suggested that Citigroup is safer than JPMorgan
now. The regulator approved a plan for Citigroup to return $1.2
billion of additional capital to shareholders.
The bank's liquidity pool has reflected this shift. At the
end of March 2012, Citigroup had $421 billion of cash on deposit
at central banks and other unencumbered liquid assets, enough to
cover about 43 days of acute stress and equal to about 22
percent of the bank's total assets, more than twice the
percentage at the end of 2007 when the financial crisis had just
taken hold.
In the middle of last year, as things started looking up for
the bank, it quietly began to tap its liquidity, a move that
accelerated in the fourth quarter as the company reduced its
long-term debt by $32 billion and cut interest expense.
The draw left Citigroup's pool of liquid assets at $354
billion at year-end, $67 billion less than in March last year,
but still at a level that CreditSights senior analyst David
Hendler calls "robust."
"You really don't need that much liquidity," said a bond
investor at a large money management firm who buys Citi debt and
who declined to be named. He called the pile "excessive."
Citigroup had $1.86 trillion of assets at the end of
December.
TURNING TIDE
With Citigroup lowering its cash holdings in the fourth
quarter, the bank managed to lift its interest profit margin,
known as its net interest margin, even as JPMorgan's margin
fell.
Much the same could happen in coming quarters. While
Citigroup has not committed to exactly when it will bring its
liquidity down and by how much, the company, in contrast to
JPMorgan, has guided analysts to expect steady interest profit
margins, in the face of industry-wide low rates.
Those stable margins will help the bottom line. Drawing down
the $35 billion of excess liquidity could easily save $350
million of interest expense, or about two percent of 2013
earnings, said Moshe Orenbuch, a bank analyst at Credit Suisse.
The gains could be greater if the company were able to use the
cash to make loans with attractive yields, he said.
In contrast, JPMorgan, which has not been under pressure to
hold so much cash, is now increasing its holdings. Its Chief
Financial Officer Marianne Lake told analysts in February that
the company can quickly reach the liquidity requirements by
steps including cashing out longer-term securities and taking in
more deposits. JPMorgan intends to reach the minimum by
year-end, the company said in a filing. But a measure of the
bank's lending profitability, known as net interest margin, will
suffer as a result, Lake said.
JPMorgan has accelerated plans to meet other upcoming Basel
III requirements since losing $6.2 billion in its "London Whale"
derivatives trades last year.
A JPMorgan spokesman declined to comment for this story.
Morgan Stanley has said its liquidity exceeds 100
percent of the new Basel III requirement, while Bank of America
Corp and Goldman Sachs Group Inc have yet to
disclose their liquidity scores under the new requirements.
How good the regulators' new liquidity requirements are at
showing which banks are safe won't be known for sure until they
are tested in a crisis, analysts said.
The new requirements were drafted after the 2008 bankruptcy
of Lehman Broth
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