Tags: Analysis: US-Pakistan Relations After bin Laden

Analysis: US-Pakistan Relations After bin Laden

Thursday, 15 September 2011 09:09 AM

A new analysis by LIGNET.com assesses the growing mistrust between U.S and Pakistan as well as Pakistani concerns about U.S. “staying power” in the region and whether there can be a path forward which serves the interests of both nations.

The last few months have been tumultuous for US-Pakistani relations due to the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound, increased CIA drone strikes against terrorist leaders in Pakistani territory, and the shooting by a CIA contractor of two Pakistani nationals.

Relations have been further strained by the Pakistani government’s approach to the conflict in Afghanistan. According to LIGNET.com:

“Many Pakistani military and political leaders view radical elements operating along the so-called AfPak border as a way to extend Pakistani influence in Afghanistan. The Pakistani reading of US foreign policy, reinforced by statements made by President Obama, is that the US has limited “staying power” and that long after America has withdrawn from the war, Pakistan will maintain enduring strategic interests in Afghanistan. Part of the long-term calculus is that radical elements almost certainly will be a presence in the Afghan government. Given these assessments, the likelihood is that Pakistan will not exhaust its resources in fighting organizations that may replace or at least compete with the current and still fragile Karzai government in Afghanistan.”

Difficulties between the U.S. and Pakistan are complex and reflect the peculiarities and weaknesses of the structure of Pakistan’s government. Prospects for the U.S. improving this relationship in the near term appear to be poor and would require difficult alliances with other parties, such as China.

Click HERE to read the full analysis of this story from LIGNET.com , a new Washington, DC-based intelligence analysis and forecasting service.

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Analysis: US-Pakistan Relations After bin Laden
Thursday, 15 September 2011 09:09 AM
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