Tags: Analysis: Iran Turns on Syrian President Assad

Analysis: Iran Turns on Syrian President Assad

Tuesday, 13 September 2011 01:13 PM

According to a LIGNET.com analysis, after months of standing behind Syrian President Bashar al-Assad�s bloody crackdown against anti-government protesters, Iran has backed away from its ally and called for dialogue. This move probably indicates that Iran�s leaders believe Assad is doomed and Tehran is trying to protect its interests after he leaves office.

LIGNET.com believes it is hard to see how a post-Assad Syria will continue the country�s close relationship with Iran given Tehran�s support for Assad�s crackdown against anti-government demonstrators:

�It is hard to imagine that a post-Assad government could easily forgive Iran for its close association with Assad and its support of the crackdown against Syrian anti-government demonstrators, especially in light of reports that Tehran dispatched snipers to fire on Syrian demonstrators. A post-Assad Syria will also have difficulty aligning with Iran for religious reasons since Syria is mostly Sunni Muslim and generally secular while Iran is a Shiite theocracy, differences that Assad and Iran overcame because of their mutual hatred of the West and Israel. Although a post-Assad Syria could end up as anti-Israel, U.S. and European support of Syrian anti-government protesters makes continuation of the close Syria-Iran alliance unlikely.�

Click HERE to read the full analysis of this story from LIGNET.com, a new Washington, DC-based intelligence analysis and forecasting service.

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Analysis: Iran Turns on Syrian President Assad
Tuesday, 13 September 2011 01:13 PM
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