Tags: conservatives | power | UK | election

UK Conservatives Ready to Take Power

Wednesday, 05 May 2010 08:33 PM

LONDON - The Conservatives appear to be on the brink of regaining power at the end of one of the most tumultuous and tightly fought general election campaigns since the second world war.

A Guardian/ICM poll shows the Conservatives with an eight-point lead over Labour, just short of what they need for an overall majority. The survey put the Conservatives on 36%, Labour on 28% and the Liberal Democrats on 26%.

There is no sign of Labour or the Lib Dems closing the gap on the Tories – and at least three other polls have come up with similar results. Only one of the four polls projected Labour gaining the largest number of seats.

If the Guardian/ICM poll correctly predicts voting patterns, it would leave Cameron just short of an overall majority, but close to being able to rule with the help of unionist parties, especially if the Tory seat share is pushed higher by a stronger showing in the key marginals, the central goal of the well-funded Tory organisation.

And it would leave Nick Clegg with little option but to give a Cameron minority government the first chance to try to push through a Queen's speech and budget.

The special poll – based on a sample double the normal size – predicted that Conservative support would be slightly above 36%, up three on the most recent Guardian/ICM poll but the same as another ICM poll published on Sunday.

That is eight points ahead of Labour, on 28%, identical to the last ICM poll. The Lib Dems have fallen back slightly to 26%, down two. Other parties are on 10%, including Ukip on 3%, the BNP on 2% and Greens on 1%, with support for the Welsh and Scottish nationalists at 3%.

The tight race looks set to increase turnout, with 69% of respondents saying they are certain to vote. To the intense frustration of Labour cabinet ministers, Clegg has limited his options by saying that if one party secures the largest share of the vote and most seats, they will have a mandate to try to form a government. On the Guardian share of the vote, and a uniform national swing, the Conservatives would win 283 seats, Labour 253 and the Liberal Democrats 81.

To read full London Guardian story — Go Here Now.


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LONDON - The Conservatives appear to be on the brink of regaining power at the end of one of the most tumultuous and tightly fought general election campaigns since the second world war.
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2010-33-05
Wednesday, 05 May 2010 08:33 PM
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