Tags: Homeland Security | ISIS/Islamic State | al-baghadadi | isis | may be | alive | lone wolf

Expert: ISIS' Al-Baghdadi Alive, Plotting Terror Resurgence

Expert: ISIS' Al-Baghdadi Alive, Plotting Terror Resurgence

By    |   Sunday, 26 August 2018 01:14 PM

ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is alive and plotting a resurgence, according to a video referencing current events, ISIS expert Hassan Hassan reported for The Atlantic.
 

Al-Baghdadi's 55-minute video speech marked the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adh and is presumed to have been recorded just a few weeks ago, according to the report. There had been questions whether the ISIS leader was still alive, but this news apparently answers them and suggests ISIS "has seemingly undergone an orderly transition from caliphate to insurgency without fracturing," Hassan wrote.

"Aside from its preachy opening, Baghdadi's speech charted a course for ISIS to regroup," he continued. "In one key passage, he called for lone-actor attacks in Western countries, including bombings, car-rammings, and gun and knife attacks.

"Previously, such calls only came from ISIS's former spokesman; coming from the self-styled caliph himself, they're likely to carry more weight. Baghdadi even quantified his expectations: One attack in the West equals a thousand in the Middle East — a ratio that recalls the Irish Republican Army's campaign of terror in Britain decades ago, which stipulated that one bomb in Britain was worth 100 in Northern Ireland.

"ISIS, like the violent Irish nationalists before it, knows that such attacks will garner more publicity and spark greater reaction than the slaughter of 200 Druze civilians in southern Syria or a car bombing in the heart of Baghdad.

". . . Baghdadi, then, is no disgruntled caliph lamenting his lost caliphate. He seems to have moved on, seeking to inspire his flock to revisit their greatest successes to plot a course to future glory. His speech made it clear that ISIS remembers the lessons of the past two decades very well. Whether his enemies also do is the difference between victory and defeat."

Hassan, senior fellow at the Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy in Washington, is co-author of "ISIS: Inside the Army of Terror."

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ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is alive and plotting a resurgence, according to a video referencing current events, ISIS expert Hassan Hassan reported for The Atlantic. Al-Baghdadi's 55-minute video speech marked the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adh and is presumed to have...
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Sunday, 26 August 2018 01:14 PM
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