Tags: Trump Administration | Donald Trump | Trump | Supporters | Overestimate | Unemployment Rate

WashPost Analysis: Trump Backers Overestimate Unemployment Rate

Image: WashPost Analysis: Trump Backers Overestimate Unemployment Rate

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By    |   Wednesday, 02 Nov 2016 10:32 AM

Donald Trump supporters, who are still coping to recover from the Great Recession, believe that the U.S. economic performance is worse than what it just appears to be.

According to a Washington Post study, their perception regarding the unemployment rate is stronger than the economically struggling lot who back Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

According to the survey, where 1,000 American unemployed adults were interviewed, most Trump supporters were of the view that unemployment was "high" when they were asked to rate it on a 5-point scale from "very low" to "very high."

Maximum Trump supporters believed that the current unemployment rate is "15 percent or higher," which is triple the rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for September of this year.

It can be considered that Trump supporters who were part of the survey may have belonged to communities and regions where unemployment is especially widespread.
The study divided participants according to blame group and control group for both Clinton and Trump supporters.

People in the blame treatment were informed that "rather than being a purely economic issue, unemployment is mainly a political issue — so if the level of unemployment is high and there are lots of people who lost their jobs, politicians and the government share much of the blame."

A massive 45 percent of Trump supporters blamed politicians for high unemployment rates. Meanwhile, the figure for unemployed Clinton supporters was 26 percent.

The study also elaborated that those struggling to get a job but who have more accurate assessments are drawn to Clinton. "Candidate attachments are likely to drive perceptions as much as perceptions drive candidate attachments," the analysis pointed out.

There is also evidence that the perceptions voters report are a mix of their real views of the economy and of declarations of partisanship and loyalty to candidates.

Unemployed Trump supporters showed they had pre-conceived notions of anger, with which they took the survey. Therefore, their "perceptions" of unemployment rates depended little on factual information.

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Donald Trump supporters, who are still coping to recover from the Great Recession, believe that the U.S. economic performance is worse than what it just appears to be.
Trump, Supporters, Overestimate, Unemployment Rate
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2016-32-02
Wednesday, 02 Nov 2016 10:32 AM
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