Tags: self-driving cars | crashes | report | study

Research Suggests Self-Driving Cars Won't Eliminate Accidents

cars are shown, some with drivers, some without
(Press Association via AP)

By    |   Friday, 05 June 2020 02:12 PM

Automated driving systems won’t eliminate car accidents but they may reduce them by about a third, according to a study from the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety released this week.

“Building self-driving cars that drive as well as people do is a big challenge in itself,” said Alexandra Mueller, IIHS Research Scientist and the study’s lead author. “But they’d actually need to be better than that to deliver on the promises we’ve all heard.”

“It’s likely that fully self-driving cars will eventually identify hazards better than people, but we found that this alone would not prevent the bulk of crashes,” said Jessica Cicchino, vice president for research at IIHS and one of the study’s co-authors.

The Institute notes that in a national survey of car crashes that were reported to police, driver-error was the final failure in nine out of ten incidents. Of those incidents, an automated driving system would only be expected to avoid about one-third thanks to its capabilities, according to a study in which “researchers imagined a future in which all the vehicles on the road are self-driving. They assumed these future vehicles would prevent those crashes that were caused exclusively by perception errors or involved an incapacitated driver.”

The study notes that "the remaining two-thirds” of car crashes “might still occur unless autonomous vehicles also are specifically programmed to avoid other types of predicting, decision-making and performance errors.”

“Our analysis shows that it will be crucial for designers to prioritize safety over rider preferences if autonomous vehicles are to live up to their promise to be safer than human drivers,” Mueller said.

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Automated driving systems won’t eliminate car accidents but they may reduce them by about a third, according to a study from the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety released this week.
self-driving cars, crashes, report, study
266
2020-12-05
Friday, 05 June 2020 02:12 PM
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