"We don’t want to leave, but we have no choice." I’ve heard this countless times.
Suburbanites in blue states are packing up and leaving the homes and communities in which they raised their kids, because they simply can’t afford to live there any longer or retire in place.
It’s heartbreaking and a cautionary tale for city dwellers who are escaping in droves from the cramped confines of their apartments in the wake of COVID-19, as well as spikes in crime in many of our nation's largest cities.
Real estate in the "burbs" is booming.
That won’t save those trading the subway for an SUV.
If you’ve voted for leftist-Democrat-socialists who run your city and you think a move to the suburbs will extract you from the downward spiral of these urban environments — guess again.
Sure, you’ll have a nice leafy-green yard and more room to spread out, but the collapse of cities like Seattle, Portland, Chicago, and New York will have ripple effects for quality of life and cost of living that will hit suburbanites hard.
Most suburbanites, while not rich, are in many cases "five percenters" or in the top 10 or 20 % of earners in the nation.
Despite this they are firmly ensconced in the middle class.
That’s right, in the suburbs of Philadelphia a household with a teacher and a firefighter can make approaching a total gross income of $150,000.
That income puts you close to the top ten percent in Pennsylvania.
Blue states like New York are out of money.
In fact, thanks to tens of billions in new spending by governors like Andrew Cuomo and mayors like Bill de Blasio, blue state suburbanites have been footing the bill in the form of property and income taxes for years, only to watch as their states careen toward insolvency.
It will get worse.
Financially mobile residents in Blue States are leaving for more affordable places especially the truly wealthy — millionaires and billionaires — that are often the target of Democrat politicians. That means a lot less revenue that needs to be made up by lower earners and property owners.
In liberal big cities, the pandemic has had an impact on the real estate, tourism, and hospitality industries to be sure. But the war on police, spikes in violent crime, petty crime, riots in the streets and perceptions of overall government mismanagement, means that the economic situation will get even worse and the downturn will last longer.
Tourists don’t come. They don’t get hotel rooms or book conferences.
People don’t go to restaurants. They don’t shop in stores. Businesses don’t renew leases. Companies move out.
Construction projects are halted and new investors head for greener pastures.
That all means the job market tanks as well.
There isn’t enough money that you can wring out of the suburban middle and upper middle class to make up for the revenue the shortfall. Democrats will try.
Liberal politicians controlled by public employee unions have little interest or inclination to reform bloated government programs or cut spending.
You might ask yourself how does a guy like Mayor Bill de Blasio sleep at night?
But Marxists and socialists have always historically accepted that some degree of human cost is acceptable for the sake of gaining or maintaining power or driving an ideological agenda.
De Blasio, for instance, would rather support an elimination of cash bail creating a revolving door at police stations and dismantling the NYPD Street Crime Unit, that has led to murder, rape and theft, than stand up for public safety.
It all flies in the face of logic, but that doesn’t seem to matter.
This is the same guy who honeymooned in Cuba after working to help Sandinista rebels.
He’s in charge of the biggest city in America. If New York was it’s own country, it would have the 11th largest economy in the world. New York City is the engine for that.
Even some measure of a federal bailout won’t prevent suburbanites from seeing their taxes go up to pay for the incompetent leadership of the cities. Higher earners, though they are still middle class, will be increasingly in the crosshairs of Democrats.
Democrats are also looking to have the federal government compel local suburban communities to build multi-family housing units, which will overburden infrastructure, schools, and public safety resources leading to even further tax increases.
The top 10 U.S. counties with the highest property taxes in the nation are all on the periphery of big blue cities. The foreclosure rates in those surrounding areas also continue to be among the highest in the nation.
The only thing that will save both our cities and suburbs will be significant change in leadership and governing philosophy in urban areas.
That doesn’t mean electing Republicans, though Republican-led cities past and present have faired better than those led by liberal Democrats.
It does mean electing more centrist officials who understand the importance of public safety, the private sector and basic fiscal management.
Urban dwellers must take their toughness, their pride, and their grit and throw off the leftist politicians, not just abandon the sidewalks for picket fences.
Without a change in leadership in the blue cities and blue states over top of them, you’ll find yourself, your business and your family calling for the moving van again.
Like so many others, ultimately you won’t have a choice.
Tom Basile is the host of ‘America Right Now’ on Newsmax Television, Saturday’s from 12pm - 3pm eastern. Basile has been part of the American political landscape from Presidential campaigns to local politics for more than two decades. He has served in government at the local, state and federal level including in the administration of George W. Bush in various capacities. He was an advisor to the provisional government in Iraq from 2003-04. From 2009-2011 he was the Executive Director of the New York State Republican Party. A columnist, commentator and former radio how, his new book "Let it Sink In: The Decade of Obama and Trump" provides a look back at the 2010s to prepare Americans to defend freedom in the 2020s. His critically-acclaimed book, "Tough Sell: Fighting the Media War in Iraq,” chronicled his time in Baghdad fighting media bias and driving coverage of the Iraq war. In 2011, he was featured in Time Magazine's Person of the Year spread about political activism around the world. Basile is an adjunct professor at Fordham University and runs a New York-based strategic communications firm. He is a member of the New York Bar and sits on a number of academic and philanthropic advisory boards. Learn more about him at TomBasile.com or follow him on Twitter @Tom_Basile. Read Tom Basile's Reports — More Here.
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