Tags: 2018 Midterm Elections | Polls | democrats | election | republicans

49 US House Members Are Retiring

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Monday, 05 February 2018 04:39 PM Current | Bio | Archive

So far, 49 representatives in Congress have announced they will not seek re-election in 2018. That total includes 34 Republicans and 15 Democrats. These retirements could have a significant impact on Election 2018 for the simple reason that incumbents are very difficult to unseat.

The potential impact of these retirements was highlighted in a recent column noting conflicting trends in the congressional election. The Generic Congressional Ballot polling has become more favorable to Republicans over the past month. But a race-by-race analysis shows the Democrats gaining ground. The difference is that retiring Republicans in competitive districts are opening up new possibilities for the Democrats.

According to The New York Times, however, just 26 of the congressional retirements are in potentially competitive districts. This list includes 16 Republicans and 10 Democrats.[1]

An earlier Number of the Day noted that only about 10 percent of U.S. House races are likely to be competitive in 2018.

Footnotes:

  1. The New York Times, "2018 Midterms: Keeping Track of Republican House Retirements," February 1, 2018

Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

Scott Rasmussen is founder and president of the Rasmussen Media Group. He is the author of "Mad as Hell: How the Tea Party Movement Is Fundamentally Remaking Our Two-Party System," "In Search of Self-Governance," and "The People’s Money: How Voters Will Balance the Budget and Eliminate the Federal Debt." Read more reports from Scott Rasmussen — Click Here Now.

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A race-by-race analysis shows the Democrats gaining ground. The difference is that retiring Republicans in competitive districts are opening up new possibilities for the Democrats.
democrats, election, republicans
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2018-39-05
Monday, 05 February 2018 04:39 PM
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