Tags: 2020 Elections | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | congressional | districts | tossups

11 of 13 Toss Up States Voted for Trump in 2016

vote 2020

(3desc/Dreamstime)

By    |   Monday, 27 July 2020 02:46 PM

July 27, 2020: RealClearPolitics (RCP) currently rates 13 states as Toss Ups in the 2020 presidential election. Eleven (11) of those 13 states were won by Donald Trump in 2016 —Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Missouri, Arizona, and Texas.[1]

Additionally, there are two congressional districts that cast electoral votes independent of the statewide totals. President Trump won both those districts in 2016 (Maine-2 and Nebraska-2).[1]

The only current Toss Up states won by Hillary Clinton four years ago were New Hampshire and Nevada.[1]

As a result of this imbalance, challenger Joe Biden has an Electoral College lead at the moment. He is leading in states with 222 Electoral Votes while the president is well behind at 115.[1]

Still, like Hillary Clinton in 2016, Biden does not have a secure lead in enough states to win the election. Biden will need to win 48 of the Toss Up votes (24%) to move into the White House. The challenge is tougher for the president. To win re-election, he will need 155 of the Toss Up votes (77%).[1]

Footnotes:

  1. RealClearPolitics, "Battle for White House," accessed July 24, 2020

Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author. Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published by Ballotpedia weekdays at 9:00 a.m. Eastern. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author. Scott Rasmussen is founder and president of the Rasmussen Media Group. He is the author of "Mad as Hell: How the Tea Party Movement Is Fundamentally Remaking Our Two-Party System," "In Search of Self-Governance," and "The People’s Money: How Voters Will Balance the Budget and Eliminate the Federal Debt." Read Scott Rasmussen’s Reports — More Here.

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Like Hillary Clinton in 2016, Biden does not have a secure lead in enough states to win the election. Biden will need to win 48 of the Toss Up votes (24%) to move into the White House.
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2020-46-27
Monday, 27 July 2020 02:46 PM
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