Tags: Barack Obama | Healthcare Reform | cbo | coverage | gruber

15 Million Americans Would Drop Obamacare If They Could

Image: 15 Million Americans Would Drop Obamacare If They Could
A healthcare protest last month in downtown Denver, Colo. More than 100 protesters crowded the sidewalk outside the building in which U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner, R-Colo., has his office. (David Zalubowski/AP)

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Thursday, 27 Jul 2017 10:22 AM Current | Bio | Archive

If the individual mandate were to be repealed and Americans were no longer required to purchase the Obamacare-mandated levels of health insurance coverage, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) believes that 15 million Americans would no longer purchase such coverage.[1]

Some, including Jonathan Gruber, believe that the CBO is overestimating the impact of repealing the mandate. Gruber was one of the architects of the healthcare law.[1]

Politically, the impact of these projections is significant since the individual mandate has long been the most unpopular part of Obamacare. Recent polling shows that two-thirds of Americans would like to see it repealed.[2] For many, the idea of the government forcing anybody to buy anything is in conflict with America’s commitment to individual freedom.

Additionally, if the CBO projections are correct, there are 15 million Americans who would directly benefit from the repeal. Typically, when people are directly impacted by a law, their support or opposition is more intense than that of more casual observers.

On the other hand, if Gruber is correct, the Republican plans to repeal and replace Obamacare would have a much smaller impact than the CBO expects.

If the individual mandate were to be repealed, many Americans might be interested in purchasing less comprehensive and less expensive coverage. The CBO has offered no estimates of how many might take advantage of such alternatives. It is currently illegal for insurance companies to offer less expensive plans offering less comprehensive coverage.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published by Ballotpedia. Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.

 Scott Rasmussen is a Senior Fellow for the Study of Self-Governance at the King’s College in New York and an Editor-At-Large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. His most recent book, "Politics Has Failed: America Will Not," was published by the Sutherland Institute in May.To read more of his reports — Click Here Now.

Footnotes:

  1. Forbes, "CBO's Secret: 73% Of Coverage Difference Between Obamacare & GOP Bills Driven By Individual Mandate," July 22, 2017
  2. YouGov, "The public wants Obamacare minus the individual mandate," February 27, 2017

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If the individual mandate were to be repealed, many Americans might be interested in purchasing less comprehensive and less expensive coverage.
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2017-22-27
Thursday, 27 Jul 2017 10:22 AM
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