The following is the fourth in the series
Violent crimes in the United States have declined dramatically. Some of this is due to the economy, but it's also due to effective policing.
From 1992 to 2012, violent crimes per 100,000 people declined 50% in the United States! That is amazing.
We’ve seen this in most major cities. The crime rate in 1990 was very high. By 2016, the number of crimes per 100,000 people was dramatically lower:
- Philadelphia saw a 50% decline.
- Baltimore saw a 60% drop.
- Detroit crimes dropped 50%.
- New York City had an 80% reduction!
Police departments did a great job.
Does the U.S. Have More Crime Than Other Countries?
Comparative data between countries on crime rates, especially for violent crimes, is difficult to find. However, an organization called Numbeo, ranks the "Safety Index" of most countries. The safety index is based on asking people "How comfortable are you to walk in your community at night?"
For 2020, only 16% of Venezuelans felt safe to go out at night.
In the United States, 53% of the respondents said they felt safe. This ranked slightly worse than Canada and other European countries, all of which had indices between 53% and 65%.
Our Crime Issues are Concentrated in Major Urban Areas
The 10 worldwide cities with the highest rate of homicides are all located in Honduras, Mexico, Venezuela, Brazil, and Columbia. But America has five cities ranked between No. 17 and No. 43 for the most homicides per 100,000 people — New Orleans, Detroit, Baltimore, Saint Louis, and Oakland.
Surprisingly, there are no European or Asian cities among the top 50 deadliest cities. According to the NUMBEO 2020 Safety Index, among major European capitals (London, Rome, Paris, Stockholm, Berlin, Amsterdam, and Basel).
48% to 81% of the people in these European capitals felt safe to go out at night.
But 15 of our major cities had a Safety Index from only 44% to as low as 25%Memphis, Baltimore, Detroit, Saint Louis, Milwaukee, Oakland, New Orleans, Cleveland, Chicago, Houston, Atlanta, Philadelphia, Kansas City, Indianapolis, and Washington, DC.
Crime issues are largely concentrated in major urban cities — run by Democrats.
Memphis – In 94 of the past 110 years, Memphis has had a democrat mayor.
Baltimore – In the past 72 years, Democrats held the mayor office 68 years.
Detroit – In the past 58 years, there has not been a single Republican mayor.
Saint Louis – In the past 69 years, St. Louis has had all Democrat mayors.
Milwaukee – In the past 104 years, there have been four Democratic mayors, two socialists, and one "non-partisan."
Oakland – The last Republican mayor was elected in 1887.
New Orleans – The last Republican mayor was elected in 1867.
Cleveland – Since 1942, there have been nine Democratic mayors and two Republican.
Chicago - In the past 89 years, Chicago has only had Democratic mayors.
Houston – The last Republican mayor was in 1982.
Atlanta - All mayors since 1879 have been Democrats.
Philadelphia – In the past 68 years, Philadelphia has had no Republicans mayors.
Kansas City – Since 1930, there has been just one Republican mayor.
Washington D.C – All mayors since 1961 have been Democrats.
In the past 50+ years, all of these cities were almost exclusively led by Democrats mayors.
However, thirteen of the fifty largest American cities are run by Republican mayors.
With the exception of Fresno, all of these cities have significantly better Safety Indices than the cities run by Democrats. Miami, Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Omaha, Fort Worth, Mesa, Virginia Beach, Colorado Springs, San Diego, Jacksonville, Arlington, and El Paso — the Safety Indices ranged from 48 to 69.
Conclusions
Violent crimes have declined dramatically since the 1980’s — 50% overall, and even more in some major cities — particularly New York City under Mayor Giuliani.
But crime issues are still concentrated in major cities.
Those with the worst safety indices have been run for the last 50 years by Democrats.
Republican policies are often blamed for police violence, but there is no evading the fact that mayors are responsible for their local police and gun policies.
If we look objectively at the record from this analysis and the previous post, it’s clear that police departments have improved dramatically to reduce unnecessary killing incidents.
At the same time, it is apparent that police have done an excellent job to reduce violent crimes in our communities.
We should be honoring our officers in blue.
They serve and protect, often at great personal risk.
Next: The Real Issue
Roger Andersen holds an undergraduate degree in Economics from Wheaton College and an MBA from Oregon State University. He studied literature and history at Oxford University and international economics at the University of Leiden. Mr. Andersen began his career with PepsiCo, serving in various business planning, strategic planning, and financial management roles. He was CFO for Tonka/Kenner/Parker, CFO for Rollerblade, SVP for Pepsi-Cola General Bottlers, CEO of Young America Corporation, and CEO of The Bob Pike Group. He is the author of The Executive Calling: Corporate Success Without Selling Your Soul. Roger and his wife have two daughters. Read Roger Andersen's Reports — More Here.
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