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Latest National Polls

Saturday, 23 October 2004 12:00 AM

Bush - 49%

Bush - 46%

Bush - 47%

Bush - 49%

Bush - 48%

Zogby added: "The real news here is that 18-29 year olds favor Kerry 64% to 35%, with 1% for Nader—and 0% undecided. When I see a low undecided number it means that group is going to vote. I am factoring this group to be 12% of the total vote - but it could be higher. Each point it goes higher translates into two-thirds of a percent for Kerry - if these numbers hold up."

Bush - 49%

Bush - 49%

Bush - 48%

Bush - 48%

Bush - 46%

Bush - 49%

Bush - 46%

Bush - 50%

Bush - 50%

Democratic Sen. John Kerry moved into a dead heat with President Bush four days before a cliffhanger White House election, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Friday.

Bush - 47%

Bush - 49%

Bush - 48.7%

Bush - 48%

The Armageddon election continues as President Bush now leads by 2 points over Democratic challenger, Senator John Kerry according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll.

Pollster John Zogby: "Let me try to put it this way: It's close! It's close! It's close!"

Bush - 49%

Bush - 48%

Bush - 48%

Bush - 51%

Bush-Cheney, 48 percent

Bush - 49%

Skepticism about the nation's direction is boosting John Kerry's campaign for president: Fifty-five percent of likely voters say the country is on the wrong track, and their discontent is fueling Kerry to an even race against President Bush.

Overall, 49 percent of likely voters now support Kerry, 48 percent Bush, 1 percent Ralph Nader. Given polling tolerances that's essentially a tie, but it is the first time since Aug. 1 that Kerry's held a numerical advantage, however slight, in ABC News polls.

President George Bush continues to lead the Democratic challenger, Senator John Kerry by three points, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll.

Pollster John Zogby: "Our first night with Leaners brings President Bush to 49% against Senator Kerry's 46%. If Kerry, as suggested, is looking to Undecideds—look again there may not be enough left.

"Kerry has got African Americans (91%-5%) and union members (56%-36%), but [Bush leads with] women (Bush 48%- Kerry 47%), juniors 18-29 years old (Bush 55%-Kerry 44%) and seniors (Bush 49% - Kerry 47%).

Bush is where he needs to be with military families (57%), investors (55%) and NASCAR fans (59%), and has a slight edge among Catholics (49%-44%).

"Bush's re-elect is now tied with those who say that it's time for someone new at 48% - that is a first.

"Among those who have already voted, it is Bush 52% to Kerry's 44%."

President Bush continues to gain ground over Democratic nominee John Kerry, expanding his lead to three points nationwide, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll.

The telephone poll of 1204 likely voters was conducted from Friday through Sunday (October 22-24, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Pollster John Zogby: "The President has opened up a 12-point lead among Independents and now also leads among those voters with active passports. While each candidate is polling solidly among most of his base constituency, Kerry should be concerned that his numbers among Hispanics appear to be anemic. We are finding the same in states like New Mexico, but we are currently engaged in a large national poll of Hispanics-and will be able to tell shortly if the findings in this tracking poll correspond to a sample of 1000 Hispanic voters."

With just nine days left before the election, the candidates remain in a statistical dead-heat, both amongst registered and likely voters, in a two-way and three-way trial heat including Independent Party Candidate Ralph Nader, according to the latest Newsweek Poll.

In a three-way heat, Bush/Cheney and Kerry/Edwards are tied at 46 percent, with Nader at two percent, among registered voters.

Among likely voters, Bush/Cheney lead Kerry/Edwards (48% to 46%), with Nader at one percent.

In a two-way race among registered voters, Bush/Cheney and Kerry/Edwards are tied at 47 percent (6% are undecided). And among likely voters, the Bush/Cheney ticket leads 48 percent to 47 percent for Kerry/Edwards.

That marks a four- point narrowing between the two tickets among likely voters.

Bush/Cheney led among likely voters 50 percent to 45 percent according to last weekend's Newsweek Poll (Oct. 14-15). Thirteen percent of registered voters say they still have not made up their minds about who to vote for.

If the 2004 election for President were held today, 51% of likely voters surveyed would vote for President George W. Bush, 46% would vote for Senator John Kerry, and 2% would vote for Ralph Nader, according to the TIME poll conducted by telephone from Oct. 19 – 21. Among all registered voters surveyed, Bush leads Kerry 50% to 43%.

Last week's TIME poll found 48% of likely voters would vote for Bush, 47% would vote for Kerry, and 3% would vote for Nader. That poll was conducted Oct. 14-15 and included 865 likely voters.

President Bush continues to lead Democratic challenger John Kerry by two points (47%-45%), after a strong day of polling, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The telephone poll of 1206 likely voters was conducted from Wednesday through Friday (October 20-22, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Pollster John Zogby: "Bush had a stronger single day of polling, leading Kerry 49% to 46%. For the first time, in the one-day sample Bush had a positive re-elect, 49% to the 48% who feel it's time for someone new. Also in the one-day sample, Undecideds were only 4%. Could Undecideds be breaking for Bush?

"In the three-day sample, Bush leads in the 'Red States' 51% to 42%, while Kerry leads in the 'Blue States' by only 47% to 43%.

"Kerry leads by only 3 points among women (48% to 45%), while Bush leads among independents by 3 points (44% to 41%)."

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Bush - 49% Bush - 46% Bush - 47% Bush - 49% Bush - 48% Zogby added: "The real news here is that 18-29 year olds favor Kerry 64% to 35%, with 1% for Nader-and 0% undecided. When I see a low undecided number it means that group is going to vote. I am factoring this...
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2004-00-23
Saturday, 23 October 2004 12:00 AM
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