Tags: Davis | Recall | Extremely | Risky

Davis Recall Extremely Risky

Thursday, 19 June 2003 12:00 AM

They said it couldn’t be done, but voters in California seem inclined to recall Gov. Gray Davis.

Despite the fact that I have very dear friends involved in the recall effort, I think it is a HUGE strategic mistake, and if (God forbid) successful will have long-term negative consequences to the state AND the country.

If successful, the recall effort will result in handing the state of California to Democrats on a silver platter and doom the Golden State to at least a decade of unchallenged liberal Democrat control.

Some will say, “So what’s new about that?” A successful recall effort will also make a difficult but doable challenge for the Bush campaign a virtual impossibility in 2004.

The recent Public Policy Institute of California poll reveals that 48 percent of voters say they are willing to dump Davis and 41 percent say they'd retain him as governor.

However, the margin among

Davis deserves to be recalled. He has been malfeasant, incompetent and duplicitous. His popularity rating has plunged to a miserable 21 percent to 25 percent for good reason. One statehouse insider told me that Davis is “politically bankrupt … with NO political capital.”

Seventy-five percent of Republicans and Independents support the recall and even a third of polled Democrats agree. However, it is a major whoops that will bite recall supporters hard.

The survey results demonstrate the broad, deep and palpable discontent in California. There are myriad reasons for the antipathy Davis has earned.

Consider the following:

The national consequences are also significant. And obviously lost on or ignored by the recall questers.

If President Bush were to run in 2004 with California in disarray under the incompetent lead of Gray Davis, the conventional wisdom is that he could actually (albeit with difficulty) carry California and its gaggle of electoral votes.

HOWEVER, if the Dump Davis crowd gets its way, California will probably have a Democratic governor (Dianne Feinstein) who will play hardball to undermine the Bush juggernaut and California could/would be lost to Bush in 2004.

Sure, there is a wild-card chance in the procedural mishmash of the ‘hey you’ election that Arnold could squeak into the lead and win (if he really wants it). After all, with a no-primary, no-campaign, ‘pick one’ election, the winner of a deeply divided field could become governor with only 300,000 votes.

If DiFi gets to actually become the Leona Helmsley of California, it will not be because of superior political acumen but because of the epic myopia of the Davis crecall crowd.

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They said it couldn't be done, but voters in California seem inclined to recall Gov. Gray Davis. Despite the fact that I have very dear friends involved in the recall effort, I think it is a HUGE strategic mistake, and if (God forbid) successful will have long-term...
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2003-00-19
Thursday, 19 June 2003 12:00 AM
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