Tags: Bush's | Declining | Numbers

Bush's Declining Numbers

Monday, 02 February 2004 12:00 AM

All public polls show a declining job performance number – and a rising disapproval number –

1) Team Bush has greatly underestimated the remaining 'worry factor' about the economy. Many, many people are 'worried' over their money, their total taxes, their jobs and their children's jobs. This underlying fear factor has undermined Bush – right at the heart of his presidency.

2) The Bush flurry of initiatives leading up to the State of the Union went over like a lead balloon. Beginning with the now obviously disastrous immigration proposal, followed by the unpopular Trip to Mars, the president is

3) Polls taken after this year's State of the Union speech show that a majority of people did not have a 'positive' feeling about it. In the previous three years this annual speech boosted Mr. Bush's ratings; this time it was a negative. Why? He is

4) The revelation that the budget deficit is ballooning has cut into the Bush Base. Conservatives are

5) The Democratic presidential candidates' constant pounding on the president also contributes to his lower ratings. He has yet to fight back and defend himself. When he does – after a Democratic nominee has been selected – he can help shape the race to his advantage.

6) But by far the

Believe this: the Kay report has rocked the White House to its core. Just look at the Bush flip-flop on having an 'independent commission' to explore intelligence failures. In the middle of last week the White House opposed it vehemently; today the White House has totally reversed itself and is ready to appoint a 'Warren Commission-style panel.'

Team Bush hopes that this investigation can be dragged out way past the November election. That way Mr. Bush can dodge questions about launching a war based on a false premise. He can just say, "That is being looked into and I don't want to prejudge the commission's findings."

Whether such an approach can work during a presidential campaign is doubtful – especially if Sen. John Kerry, a ruthless opponent, is the Democratic nominee. Kerry, who voted for the resolution authorizing force, has already said "President Bush lied to me" about the WMD. If he maintains such an approach, the White House is going to be on the defensive all year long.

Kerry and the Democrats are also preparing the political battlefield: If Bush questions the Democrats' patriotism, then they are ready to charge him with being AWOL from his Air National Guard duties in 1972 while he was in Alabama. You are soon going to hear the name of Col. William Turnipseed (now a general), the base commander in 1972, who has claimed that G.W. Bush never reported to him as he was required to. Curiously, in the 2000 race it was discovered that all of G.W. Bush's National Guard records had disappeared from the USG's records center.

You can bet that the Kerry forces are prepped to go all out on this issue to contrast Kerry's Vietnam War record. The famous flight-suit photo of President Bush on the USS Abraham Lincoln last spring may come back to haunt him in more ways than one.

Conclusion: It is still early in this race. Much is yet to happen. But for Team Bush, it needs to get on the offensive – and soon.

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All public polls show a declining job performance number and a rising disapproval number 1) Team Bush has greatly underestimated the remaining 'worry factor' about the economy. Many, many people are 'worried' over their money, their total taxes, their jobs and their...
Bush's,Declining,Numbers
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2004-00-02
Monday, 02 February 2004 12:00 AM
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