The bipartisan poll also predicts that Green Party presidential nominee Ralph Nader will win 3.5 percent – below the 5 percent needed for taxpayer matching money in 2004 – and that all others will share 1.5 percent.
Republican pollster Ed Goeas and Democrat Celinda Lake show Gore suffering a gender gap. Bush has the overwhelming support of men – 50 percent vs. 37 percent for Gore. Married voters favor Bush 51 percent to 36 percent.
Gore’s advantage among female voters, which reached 11 points a month ago, has fallen over recent weeks. Gore is now projected to win the women’s vote by only two points, 43 percent vs. 41 percent for Bush. His lead among single voters, however, is 54 percent vs. 30 percent for Bush.
In the congressional races, however, Democrats appear to have regained a slight edge. In the survey released today, 44 percent of likely voters favored the Democrat candidate in their district, while 42 percent favored the Republican.
Voter.com says that if Bush wins the White House, "one set of numbers that will haunt Gore supporters for many years is the 'Right Direction/ Wrong Track' survey result. Throughout the past two months of daily Battleground tracking, likely voters who say that the country is moving in the 'right direction' consistently have outnumbered those who say that the country is on the 'wrong track.'
"Today’s final Voter.com Battleground daily survey is no exception: 'right direction' tops 'wrong track' by six points, a margin that should have given Gore, the incumbent vice president, a decisive advantage at the polls."
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