Tags: Analysis: | Heart | the | Monster | Moscow | Not | Beijing

Analysis: Heart of the Monster Is in Moscow, Not in Beijing

Thursday, 24 May 2001 12:00 AM

So writes the Putin strategist Gleb Pavlovskiy in a recent article in Moscow’s Nezavisimaya Gazeta. Pavlovskiy sees the United States getting beaten and bruised so badly we’ll "crawl back” to our "North American island.”

But with industrial ruin, poverty and disease eating away at Russia’s prospects, Pavlovskiy sees his nation as an outclassed fighter that knows its lone hope is to seize an opportunity in the early rounds. It’s got to get its footing first, Pavlovskiy writes. That starts with tightening control over the Russian people and exerting enormous influence in neighboring republics and among Russians living in the West, especially the United States.

So what’s our play?

First, Moscow’s influence on U.S. soil should be nullified; this includes taking measures - within constitutional boundaries - toward the "fifth column” Russian‑language media in the United States as well as toward Kremlin and FSB-controlled properties and businesses here.

Second, the United States must engage Russia’s crippled eastern regions, which are awaiting final destruction.

U.S. National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice addressed engagement in an article in the January-February 2000 Foreign Affairs magazine:

"The war in Chechnya … is a reminder of the vulnerability of the small, new states around Russia and of America's interest in their independence. If they can become stronger, they will be less tempting to Russia. But much depends on the ability of these states to reform their economies and political systems - a process, to date, whose success is mixed at best."

Meanwhile, what’s China’s role?

Specifically, Russian military leaders Valeriy Manilov and Anatoliy Kvashnin are effectively influencing Chinese leaders Zhang Wannian, Chi Haotian and other PLA top brass, who, in their turn, are pushing Jaing Zemin directly toward a conflict with the United States over Taiwan.

For sure, this Russian activity has drastically expanded the problems in U.S.‑China relations. In the first months of 2001 this became as evident ‑ and dangerous ‑ as never before.

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So writes the Putin strategist Gleb Pavlovskiy in a recent article in Moscow's Nezavisimaya Gazeta.Pavlovskiy sees the United States getting beaten and bruised so badly we'll crawl back" to our North American island." But with industrial ruin, poverty and disease...
Analysis:,Heart,the,Monster,Moscow,,Not,Beijing
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2001-00-24
Thursday, 24 May 2001 12:00 AM
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