Tags: US | Campaign 2016 | Road to 270 | Analysis

AP: Clinton Has Just Enough Electoral Votes, but Lead Fragile

Image: AP: Clinton Has Just Enough Electoral Votes, but Lead Fragile

 Hillary Clinton (Getty Images)

Saturday, 05 Nov 2016 08:51 PM

In the final days of the 2016 campaign, Hillary Clinton holds advantages over Donald Trump in just enough states to win her the White House — if she can hold them on Election Day.

But Clinton's national lead appears to have narrowed in the last two weeks, and Clinton's winning map appears more fragile than it once did.

The Associated Press this week moves New Hampshire from leaning Democratic to a toss-up, Arizona from a toss-up to leaning Republican, Virginia from strong Democratic to leaning Democratic, and Texas from leaning Republican to strong Republican.

The analysis is of the map as it stands today. It considers preference polling, recent electoral history, demographic trends and campaign priorities such as advertising, travel and on-the-ground staff.

SOLID DEMOCRATIC: California, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington state (200 total electoral votes).

LEANS DEMOCRATIC: Colorado, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Virginia (74 total electoral votes).

TOSS-UP: Florida, Iowa, Maine 2nd District, Nebraska 2nd District, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Utah (80 total electoral votes).

LEANS REPUBLICAN: Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, Missouri (40 total electoral votes).

SOLID REPUBLICAN: Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia, Wyoming (144 total electoral votes).

© Copyright 2017 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

   
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In the final days of the 2016 campaign, Hillary Clinton holds advantages over Donald Trump in just enough states to win her the White House - if she can hold them on Election Day.But Clinton's national lead appears to have narrowed in the last two weeks, and Clinton's...
US, Campaign 2016, Road to 270, Analysis
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2016-51-05
Saturday, 05 Nov 2016 08:51 PM
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