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Florida Minority Voters Present Challenge for Trump

Image: Florida Minority Voters Present Challenge for Trump

Donald Trump (Ty Wright/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

By    |   Monday, 15 Aug 2016 04:29 PM

Donald Trump could lose Florida amid a surge in minority voters, Politico reports.

There are 436,000 more voters in Florida today than in 2012, but only 24 percent of them are white. There are 242,000 more Hispanic voters, and Latinos now make up 15.4 percent of all Sunshine State voters.

Whites still make up the majority, at 65 percent, but that's down 1.5 percent from 2012, and the Republican billionaire is losing Florida by an average of about four percentage points to Democrat Hillary Clinton, according to Real Clear Politics. No Florida poll followed by the website in the past month shows Trump ahead.

Politico also notes that the majority of new Caucasian voters are under 50 years old, a demographic that heavily favors Clinton in Florida. Trump's support among Florida Hispanics trails Clinton's by a roughly 7-to-1 margin, according to recent polls.

"The key takeaway is Clinton is already at Obama's number from 2012 and there are more Hispanics now than then, and it will be a bigger piece of the statewide pie in 2016," Democratic pollster Fernand Amandi told Politico. "Bad news for Trump."

Republican Florida Sen. Marco Rubio has seen his lead narrow against likely Democratic opponents, a new Quinnipiac University Poll shows, possibly because of Trump's unpopularity in the state.

"At this stage of the campaign, Republican U.S. Senate candidates may be running against their own presidential nominee, Donald Trump, as much as they are against their Democratic opponents," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll, said.

"Assuming Trump wins no more of the non-white vote than Mitt Romney did in 2012, he's going to need to surpass 65 percent of the white vote in order to be able to win. And the last Republican who did that was Ronald Reagan in 1984," Ryan Tyson, the Republican director of the Associated Industries of Florida, said to Politico.

A survey this month showed Trump was favored by just 13 percent of Hispanics, according to the News-Press in South Florida.

"You can't lose this much of the non-white vote in a state where the non-white vote is such a big share of the electorate," Tyson continued. "The math just isn't there."

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Donald Trump could lose Florida amid a surge in minority voters, Politico reports.
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Monday, 15 Aug 2016 04:29 PM
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