Tags: Coronavirus | Trump Administration | trump | fauci | doubts

Doubts Raised Over Coronavirus Death Projections

Doubts Raised Over Coronavirus Death Projections
President Donald Trump speaks during a coronavirus task force briefing in the Rose Garden of the White House, Sunday, March 29, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

By    |   Friday, 03 April 2020 11:10 AM

Some of President Donald Trump’s top advisers have expressed doubts about White House estimates that 100,000 to 240,000 people will die in the U.S. from the coronavirus, The Washington Post is reporting.

The newspaper attributed the information to three unnamed White House officials.

And key disease forecasters, whose research the White House used for the estimates, were baffled when the administration’s projection was released, according to the Post.

Those experts are not disputing the numbers, but they don’t know how the White House came up with them.

And White House officials have refused to elaborate on how the estimates were developed, the newspaper said.

Meanwhile, the White House has been the scene of fierce debates about the accuracy of the predictions.

Two officials said Dr. Anthony Fauci, a member of the coronavirus task force, expressed concerns about the figures.

“I’ve looked at all the models,” he reportedly said at a meeting this week. “I’ve spent a lot of time on the models. They don’t tell you anything. You can’t really rely upon models.”

And Jeffrey Shaman, a Columbia University epidemiologist whose models were cited by the White House, said his work on the pandemic doesn’t go far enough into the future to make predictions like those used by the White House.

Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight noted it is difficult to put together any good COVID-19 model to project accurate numbers because of the many variables involved, including the fact that different countries and regions collect data in different ways.

 

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Some of President Donald Trump’s top advisers have expressed doubts about White House estimates that 100,000 to 240,000 people will die in the U.S. from the coronavirus, The Washington Post is reporting.
trump, fauci, doubts
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2020-10-03
Friday, 03 April 2020 11:10 AM
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