Tags: Trump Administration | Democrats 2016 | Hillary Clinton | tim kaine | hillary clinton | vice president | electoral college

FiveThirtyEight: Kaine Won't Give Clinton Much Bump

Image: FiveThirtyEight: Kaine Won't Give Clinton Much Bump
 Hillary Clinton and Democratic vice presidential candidate U.S. Sen. Tim Kaine greet supporters during a campaign rally. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

By    |   Monday, 25 Jul 2016 10:17 AM

Hillary Clinton would have been better served picking a running mate who hails from Florida than Tim Kaine, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.

According to Silver, vice presidents are usually good for a two-point bump in their home state, in this case Virginia. Though it's a swing state, Silver writes those two points won't help Clinton much in a state she could carry in November anyway.

Silver calculates that picking Kaine results in just a 0.7 percent chance that he swings the election for Clinton.

On the other hand, if Clinton had tabbed her VP from Florida, that would have given her a 1.8 percent point bump on the electoral map. A running mate from Pennsylvania, Ohio or North Carolina would have been better picks than Kaine, too.

However, with just a 2.5-point lead in latest polling there, Kaine should help carry Virginia.

"Elections are won on the margins, and Clinton would be marginally better off with Kaine's help in Virginia than without it," Silver wrotes.

Related Stories:

© 2017 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

   
1Like our page
2Share
Politics
Hillary Clinton would have been better served picking a running mate who hails from Florida than Tim Kaine, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.
tim kaine, hillary clinton, vice president, electoral college
189
2016-17-25
Monday, 25 Jul 2016 10:17 AM
Newsmax Inc.
 

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved