Republicans have pulled even with Democrats in the generic congressional midterms poll for just the second time since weekly tracking started by Rasmussen Reports in May.
The GOP has never led and had tied just one week in August (44-44) and now this week at 45 percent, according to a survey of 2,500 likely voters Sept. 30-Oct. 4, around the time of Justice Brett Kavanaugh's Senate confirmation process played out in the national media.
"It is unclear whether the sudden jump to a tie vote is a reflection of the anger surrounding the Kavanaugh confirmation process, but we will continue to watch this in the weeks ahead," Rasmussen reported Wednesday.
Democrats have led in the poll by as many as 8 percentage points, and just last week they had held a five-point advantage (47-42 percent).
When asked who would you choose if elections for Congress were held today, the responses went (totals exceed 100 percent because of rounding):
- The Republican candidate 45 percent.
- The Democratic candidate 45 percent.
- Some other candidate 3 percent.
- And 8 percent were undecided.
"At this time in 2014, prior to the last non-presidential year congressional elections, Democrats held a 41 percent to 39 percent lead," Rasmussen reports. "But Republicans went on to gain control of the Senate in those elections and increase their majority in the House of Representatives."
The Rasmussen Reports poll's margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
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