Michigan remains one of the biggest battleground states of this presidential election cycle, and if the tightness of that state is in any indication of the full race, this is going to be a near dead-heat race.
An American Greatness/TIPP poll of Michigan likely voters released Friday after the end of the Democratic National Convention showed Vice President Kamala Harris holding a 1-point lead on Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump (46%-$45%) in the full field and a 2-point lead in a hypothetical head-to-head battle (48%-46%).
Neither lead is outside the margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, making the race in Michigan a statistical or virtual tie.
Notably, TIPP has been lauded "as America's most accurate national presidential poll after the 2020 election."
The close race is Michigan is also punctuated in this poll by 24% of likely voters still deciding on their candidate.
While Harris leads the poll in Michigan by a statistically insignificant margin, Trump does beat Harris by perception of who is going to get votes by 8 points — more than double the margin of error:
- 44% say their neighbor is going to vote for Trump.
- 36% say their neighbor is going to vote for Harris.
Trump holds a significant edge in Michigan on the issues, too. The price of food is a top-three issue for 54% of voters, and 64% say they were better off four years ago — compared to 28% who say they are better off now:
- Trump leads Harris by 6 points (49%-43%) on "growing the economy."
- Trump leads Harris by 13 points (52%-39%) on "improving national security."
- Trump leads Harris by 22 points (56%-34%) on "securing the border."
TechnoMetrica conducted the American Greatness/TIPP poll from Aug. 20-22 among 1,001 registered voters in Michigan and 741 likely voters.
Eric Mack ✉
Eric Mack has been a writer and editor at Newsmax since 2016. He is a 1998 Syracuse University journalism graduate and a New York Press Association award-winning writer.
© 2025 Newsmax. All rights reserved.