Fifty-one percent of voters support Democrat Conor Lamb in the race to represent Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District, while 45 percent back Republican Rick Saccone, a new Monmouth University Poll revels.
The lead is based on a turnout yielding a Democratic surge similar to voting patterns seen in other special elections in the past year, pollsters say.
Lamb holds a 49-47 percent edge over Saccone using an historical midterm lower turnout model. Lamb's lead is a turnaround from February's Monmouth poll, which showed Saccone holding a small lead in all models.
Here are other highlights from the poll:
- 53 percent have a favorable opinion of Lamb, compared to 33 percent who have an unfavorable view of him.
- 47 percent have a favorable view of Saccone, while 43 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.
- 49 percent of those polled in the district approve of President Donald Trump's job performance and 49 percent disapprove.
- 44 percent have a favorable opinion of the Republican Party, while 48 percent have an unfavorable view.
- 44 percent have a favorable view of the Democratic Party, compared to 47 percent who have an unfavorable opinion of it.
The poll, conducted March 8-11, surveyed 503 registered voters in the district. The margin of error is plus or minus 5.1 percent.
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