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Morning Consult Poll: Trump Ahead of Clinton 44%-40%

Image: Morning Consult Poll: Trump Ahead of Clinton 44%-40%
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By    |   Monday, 25 Jul 2016 06:53 AM

Donald Trump is enjoying a post-Cleveland bounce, pulling ahead of Hillary Clinton by 4 points and erasing the 2-point lead she'd held before the Republican National Convention, a new Morning Consult poll reveals.

In the poll, conducted from July 22-24:
  • Trump: 44 percent;
  • Clinton: 40 percent;
  • Don't know/no opinion: 16 percent;
  • July 14-16 results: Clinton, 41 percent; Trump 39 percent.

When Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson was added in, he pulled 10 percent of the vote and Trump was still ahead of Clinton by four points.

According to Morning Consult, Trump has been moving up since the Department of Justice's decision not to prosecute Clinton using a private email server while she was secretary of state.

The poll numbers were attributed to a consolidation of the Republican base:
  • 85 percent of Republicans said they would vote for Trump;
  • 79 percent said they'd vote for him the week before.

The poll also showed that Americans were paying attention to the GOP convention. More than half, or 53 percent, said they listened to at least some of the convention, and gave many points high marks:
  • 48 percent said Trump's acceptance speech was good or excellent;
  • His numbers essentially tied those for daughter Ivanka;
  • He and Ivanka polled higher than running mate Mike Pence and RNC Chairman Reince Priebus.

Voters panned Texas Sen. Ted Cruz's speech, as well as that of Melania Trump, whose speech was found to have used parts of Michelle Obama's 2008 Democratic National Convention address.

In other numbers:
  • 43 percent said the convention gave them a more favorable impression of the GOP;
  • 31 percent said it gave them a less favorable view;
  • More respondents, 32 percent, up from 30 percent, identified themselves as Republicans;
  • Fewer respondents, 33 percent, down from 37 percent identified as Democrats.

The national survey polled 2,502 registered voters, can carried a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

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Donald Trump is enjoying a post-Cleveland bounce, pulling ahead of Hillary Clinton by 4 points and erasing the 2-point lead she'd held before the Republican National Convention, a new Morning Consult poll reveals.
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Monday, 25 Jul 2016 06:53 AM
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