New Jersey — which has voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every contest since 1992 — may be in play this November, with Hillary Clinton holding a narrow lead over presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump, a new poll shows.
The Monmouth University Poll,
released Tuesday, breaks down like this:
- Clinton: 38 percent.
- Trump: 34 percent.
- Some other candidate: 11 percent.
- Undecided: 15 percent.
In a four-way race including Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, the results break down like this:
- Clinton: 37 percent.
- Trump: 31 percent.
- Johnson: 5 percent.
- Stein: 4 percent.
- Some other candidate: 6 percent.
- Undecided: 14 percent.
The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.
"Blue Jersey doesn't appear quite so blue at this stage of the campaign," Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement.
"But we should keep in mind that neither major party candidate has fully locked in the support of their partisan bases," he added, noting when that happens, it could benefit Clinton because there's more Democrats than Republicans in the state.
The poll also shows the state's Gov. Chris Christie would be a drag on a ticket with the GOP presidential nominee, with 42 percent saying they'd be less likely to vote for Trump if Christie is his running mate; 48 percent say Christie on the ticket would have no impact on their likelihood of supporting Trump.
"Trump claims he can turn New Jersey competitive in November," Murray's statement says. "These results suggest he probably needs to look elsewhere for a running mate if he wants to make that a reality."
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