Missouri voters prefer President Donald Trump to former vice President Joe Biden, but the president’s support may be slipping, according to a new poll.
A Saint Louis University/YouGov poll released Monday shows Trump leading Biden by 7 points in Missouri in a head-to-head matchup.
Poll results indicate:
- 50% of likely Missouri voters say they back Trump for reelection.
- 43% of likely Missouri voters say they would vote for Biden.
- 50% of likely Missouri voters think Trump is doing a good job.
- 51% of likely Missouri voters do not approve of Trump’s coronavirus response.
Even though Trump is up in the poll, his support among Missouri voters is down from the 2016 election when he won more than 56% of the vote.
Trump’s support from 2016 dropped in several demographic groups including women voters, Evangelical voters and college graduate voters, according to poll results.
In 2016, 83% of Evangelical Missouri voters backed Trump. Now, the poll indicates his support has dropped to 74%.
Women voters also are less likely to vote for Trump in November than they were in 2016. His support from the state’s women voters dropped 10 points to 43% from 53%.
His support also declined among Missouri college graduates. In 2016, 55% of college grads backed Trump. Now, only 41% say they would reelect the president.
A steep drop in support came from independent voters. Trump won over votes from about 61% of the state’s independent voters in 2016. Come November, only 50% of independents say they will vote for Trump.
Republicans in the state still strongly support Trump. In 2016, 92% of Missouri Republicans voted for Trump. This year, 91% say they plan to cast their ballot for him again.
The SLU/YouGov poll surveyed 900 likely Missouri voters between June 23-July 1. It has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.95 percentage points.
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