If Republican Scott Brown wins a U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire on Tuesday against Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, it would probably be an early signal of a victorious night for the GOP, pollster Scott Rasmussen told "Fox & Friends."
"The whole point of this is there are some early races you can watch, get a sense of what's going on," Rasmussen said Monday. "If Scott Brown wins, that means it's likely to be a very, very good night for Republicans."
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Rasmussen said one reason why it would be a positive indicator for Republicans was that Brown had been behind all year, and "nobody thought this was a real race he had a shot at until lately."
He also attributed Brown's surge with his strategy of tying Shaheen to President Barack Obama, whose popularity is lagging in the polls.
"He's made his roundup by lashing Sen. Shaheen to Barack Obama — made it all a referendum on him. And if it works for Scott Brown in New Hampshire, wow, it could work all across the country," he said.
on Friday showed Shaheen was holding on to a lead with 52 percent of the vote among likely voters, and Brown at 45 percent. A RealClearPolitics average
of polls showed a narrower margin for Shaheen at 0.9 percent.
Rasmussen said the Senate race had been tightening in North Carolina between Democratic incumbent Sen. Kay Hagen and Republican Thom Tillis, a state representative.
He said if Hagen won, "it means it's not going to be a terrible night for Democrats."
However, if both Brown and Tillis won, Rasmussen said the election outcome could present "a whole different scenario."
In Georgia's Senate race, Rasmussen said Democrat Michelle Nunn was "the best possible candidate the Democrats could have recruited" to face Republican businessman David Perdue. He predicted it would be a "surprise" if Nunn and Perdue didn't end up in a runoff.
Rasmussen Reports' survey on Friday also indicated 62 percent of likely U.S. voters believed Republicans would regain a majority in the Senate
in Tuesday's election. That figure is up from 44 percent at the beginning of the year.
Even though Obama is not running for re-election, Rasmussen suggested the midterms are a referendum on his policies. In Tuesday races, he said to watch for trends with either party from election results.
"If all of these results — New Hampshire, North Carolina, Georgia, down into Florida, and some others — line up, trending in the same direction, then it's going to be a good night for that party," he said.
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