Democrat Martha Coakley may be on the verge of losing another statewide election in Massachusetts if the result of the latest poll bears out.
According to a WBUR weekly tracking poll
released today, Republican Charlie Baker has a 43-42 percent lead over Coakley.
Baker had consistently trailed Coakley in the tracking poll.
Although the one-point lead is well within the poll’s 4.4-percentage-point margin of error, it could mark a turning point on the tightly contested gubernatorial race.
"It’s one of several polls which over the last week or so have shown a movement toward Baker. Coakley has essentially been treading water while Baker’s been climbing," says Steve Koczela, president of MassINC Polling Group.
Coakley rose to national fame during the 2010 special election to fill the Senate seat left vacant by Massachusetts' iconic Sen. Ted Kennedy. To the surprise of most analysts, Republican candidate Scott Brown handily defeated
then-attorney general Coakley by a 52-47 percent count.
Brown is now a candidate for the Senate, but from neighboring New Hampshire.
Koczela says Baker only needs to avoid being swept away by a Democrat wave in the cities.
Although Baker is behind Coakley in Boston and the state's 26 Gateway Cities, the deficit is similar to the margin between Brown and Coakley in 2010.
According to RealClearPolitcs' average
of the last four polls, Baker has a 2.3 percent advantage.
With less than two weeks remaining in the campaign, the candidates met for the first time during a heated debate
last night – before the WBUR poll was released.
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