GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham’s chances of reelection are in "greater danger of an upset" than they were a few weeks ago, according to the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.
The Center's "Crystal Ball" report indicates that elections forecasters changed the ratings in the South Carolina lawmaker’s race against Democrat opponent Jamie Harrison from "likely Republican" to "leans Republican."
The report noted a boost in Harrison’s fundraising numbers as one of the reasons why Graham could be in trouble.
"During the month of August he raised over $10 million, a figure more than many senatorial candidates across the country can raise in an entire quarter," the Center writes of Harrison. "Just last week, the Harrison campaign claimed to rake in $2 million over 48 hours, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee recently announced an investment in the race."
But the report states that Graham could use the debate over replacing the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg as a way to save his campaign.
"This race could end up like the 2018 Texas Senate contest, where Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) received a strong challenge from then-Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D, TX-16)," the report concludes. "Though O’Rourke came closer than any Democrat in 30 years to winning a Lone Star State Senate seat, the state’s partisanship helped carry Cruz."
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