Republicans must lose the House of Representatives and the Senate this year if they want a chance at the presidency in 2020, according to a Huffington Post editorial by Paul Abrams.
Abrams wrote that Republicans continue to have little support among minorities and women, and that won't change while they are in office.
"They have no political capacity to vote differently, and thus eliminate those barriers to the presidency."
But if Democrats win the presidency and both houses of Congress, immigration reform and equal pay for women will pass, taking those off the table. That way, "Republicans can start building a following with women and minorities from the 'right side of history,'" Abrams said.
The writer said that Republicans and the Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton, are so opposed that "if a Republican were to vote for immigration reform, or cooperate in any way with a Hillary Clinton administration, they would be primaried, and would lose to an insurgent. That seat would be permanently gone."
But if Republicans lose in this election, they could win the seats back in 2018, since they would not have committed the "cardinal sin" of supporting a Clinton plan.
Similarly, Republicans would be rebuked if they supported equal-pay legislation.
"There are many Republicans dying to vote for it, but cannot because their corporate paymasters do not want it, and right-wing radio would skewer them for it."
But if Democrats pass it, it would cease being a hot-button issue, Abrams said.
Clinton is likely to appoint Supreme Court justices that favor abortion choice. In that case, "the threat of Republicans to choice will not seem so frightening even if they persist in the mythology that they are the 'values’ party after backing Donald Trump."
The statistical website FiveThirtyEight said the House of Representatives appears safe to remain in Republican hands, but it's not a certainty.
"House Democrats probably need a Donald Trump loss of historic proportions to have any chance at a three-part sweep," referring to the House, Senate, and the presidency.
The Washington Post reported an easier chance for the Democrats to take the Senate: they need to have a net gain of four seats.
That looks possible, according to Post writer Chris Cillizza, "thanks in large part to Trump's collapse at the top of the ticket, which appears to be dragging down the likes of Richard Burr in North Carolina, Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire, and Joseph Heck in Nevada."
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