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Poll: Hillary Leads Trump by 9 Percent in Florida

Image: Poll: Hillary Leads Trump by 9 Percent in Florida

Hillary Clinton (Photo by Jessica Kourkounis/Getty Images)

By    |   Tuesday, 16 Aug 2016 04:04 PM

Hillary Clinton holds a substantial 9-point lead over Donald Trump in the crucial swing state of Florida, a new Monmouth University poll released Tuesday reveals.

The poll, conducted from Aug. 12-15 among 402 Sunshine State residents likely to vote in the November election, also found Marco Rubio leading both of his two main Democratic challengers to retain his U.S. Senate seat.

Conducted from Aug. 12-15 among 402 Sunshine State residents likely to vote in the November election, the Monmouth survey showed in the presidential contest:

  • Clinton (Democrat): 48 percent
  • Trump (Republican): 39 percent
  • Gary Johnson (Libertarian): 6 percent
  • Jill Stein (Green Party): 1 percent
  • Undecided: 5 percent

Among self-identified Democrats, the poll shows:

  • Clinton: 92 percent
  •  Trump: 4 percent
  • Third-party candidate: 3 percent

Among self-identified Republicans, the poll shows:

  • Trump: 79 percent
  • Clinton: 12 percent
  • Third-party candidate: 5 percent

Among independents Clinton leads Trump 47 percent to 30 percent.

According to Monmouth, Clinton maintains an "overwhelming lead" over Trump — 69 percent to 19 percent — among Hispanic, black and Asian voters who make up about one-third of the electorate:

Trump leads among white voters by 51 percent to 37 percent, but Monmouth says there is a "significant" gender split. Among white men, Trump leads 64 percent to 24 percent advantage. Among white women, Clinton leads by 49 percent to 39 percent.

Clinton's 50 point lead among non-white voters is similar to Barack Obama's advantage over Mitt Romney with this group four years ago — 49 points according to the 2012 Florida exit poll," Monmouth said a news release.

"Trump's 14 point lead among white voters is smaller than Romney's 24 point win with this group. This difference is due mainly to a widening gender gap. Trump is doing somewhat better than Romney did among white men (+40 points compared to +32), but much worse among white women (-10 points compared to +17)."

"The gender split among white voters in Florida is huge. Men are drawn to Trump's message while women are not. These offsetting factors give Clinton the edge," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

In Florida's U.S. Senate race, Rubio currently leads two Democratic members of Congress who hope to challenge him.

Rubio currently holds a small 48 percent to 43 percent edge over Patrick Murphy. And he leads Alan Grayson at 50 percent to 39 percent.

Monmouth University conducted the survey among 402 likely voters from Aug. 12-15. The margin of error for the total sample is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

The New Jersey-based Monmouth identifies itself as "a leading center for the study of public opinion on critical national and state issues" with a mission of fostering "greater public accountability by ensuring that the public's voice is heard in the policy discourse."

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Hillary Clinton holds a substantial 9-point lead over Donald Trump in the crucial swing state of Florida, a new Monmouth University poll released Tuesday reveals.
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2016-04-16
Tuesday, 16 Aug 2016 04:04 PM
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