Tags: Trump Administration | Brexit | Donald Trump | GOP2016 | donald trump | brexit | election

Presidential Election Unlikely to Be the Next 'Brexit' for Pollsters

Image: Presidential Election Unlikely to Be the Next 'Brexit' for Pollsters

(AP Images)

By    |   Tuesday, 25 Oct 2016 12:19 PM

Donald Trump isn't worried about his recent slide in the polls, predicting a "Brexit situation," referencing the surprise win for Brits who supported leaving the European Union.

"I think we're gonna have — whether it's Brexit or beyond Brexit, I think we're gonna have a Brexit situation," Trump said on WBT's "Charlotte's Morning News," according to Politico. "You know, that one was behind in the polls, and I guess I'm somewhat behind in the polls but not by much. I mean, in your state, I'm one point, two points and even in three polls. One point, two points and even."

According to Real Clear Politics, Clinton leads Trump nationwide by an average of five percentage points. Still, Trump isn't worried.

"We will win," he said at a rally in Pennsylvania last Friday, according to The Guardian. "We will shock the world. This is going to be Brexit-plus."

In North Carolina, he vowed to go "beyond Brexit," and later that "this is Brexit times five," according to NBC News

Brexit, despite not being predicted by polls, was a far more unusual situation than the upcoming election. Perhaps the biggest difference is the Electoral College. In Britain, a simple majority vote was enough to push the country out of the EU. In the USA, candidates must win a majority of the Electoral College, brought about by a series of wins at a state level.

"The lead that Clinton has across the board . . . is pretty solid. It would be a cataclysmic failure of not just polling but all of what political scientists think they understand," SurveyMonkey's Jon Cohen told NBC News

"There's no evidence that there's some hidden Trump vote waiting to spring on election day," Bill Schneider, professor at the University of California, Los Angeles, told NBC News. "This is a great myth that accompanies elections all the time, that losers often perpetrate."

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Politics
Donald Trump isn't worried about his recent slide in the polls, predicting a "Brexit situation," referencing the surprise win for Brits who supported leaving the European Union.
donald trump, brexit, election, european union
318
2016-19-25
Tuesday, 25 Oct 2016 12:19 PM
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