Tags: democrats | midterms | november | republicans | house of representatives

CNN: Map Math Shows Dems With Upper Hand in 2018 House Races

Image: CNN: Map Math Shows Dems With Upper Hand in 2018 House Races
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi leads a news conference at the Capitol on Jan. 21, 2018. (J. Scott Applewhite/AP)

By    |   Tuesday, 30 January 2018 02:27 PM

Republicans have nearly three times as many House seats in jeopardy than Democrats, meaning the blue team is well-positioned to take back the majority in November, according to CNN's analysis.

Just the opposite is true in the Senate, where Democrats have more seats to defend (26-8) than Republicans, including 10 in states President Donald Trump won in 2016.

But in the House, Democrats need to flip 24 seats to regain the majority, a very real possibility for Democrats given the map math, according to CNN.

According to CNN:

  • 61 Republican seats are in jeopardy in the House vs. 22 for Democrats
  • 23 of those are Republicans representing districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016
  • There are six districts where Trump performed well that Dems have to defend
  • 35 Republicans are not running for re-election vs. 15 Democrats

CNN also reported that there are 176 solid Republican and 176 solid Democrat seat in the House, leaving 83 combined seats in play in 2018.

The breakdown of those 83 seats in jeopardy for both Democrats and Republicans, according to CNN's ratings:

  • 46 Republican seats
  • 18 Democratic seats
  • 15 tossup seats held by Republicans
  • 4 tossup seats held by Democrats

"Democrats have experienced a candidate recruitment windfall thanks to historic trends (the president's party has lost an average of 25 House seats in a first-term, midterm election in the post World War II era) and a current political environment dominated by Trump's unpopularity," CNN's Chris Cillizza writes.

"Combine that glut of quality candidates with a widening playing field and the weight of history and Democrats look to be in a very strong position to win back control of the House," Cillizza writes.

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Republicans have nearly three times as many House seats in jeopardy than Democrats, meaning the blue team is well-positioned to take back the majority in November, according to CNN's analysis.
democrats, midterms, november, republicans, house of representatives
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2018-27-30
Tuesday, 30 January 2018 02:27 PM
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