Tags: 2020 Elections | Donald Trump | Hillary Clinton | Joe Biden | dave wasserman | cook political report | prediction

Cook Political Report Editor Predicts Likely Biden Victory

biden in a suit and red tie in front of us flags
Democrat presidential nominee Joe Biden (Jim Watson/Getty Images)

By    |   Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:09 PM

Political commentator Dave Wasserman, who was one of the few experts to correctly forecast President Donald Trump's surprise victory four years ago, has sent out a tweet predicting it is likely that Democrat contender Joe Biden will win next week’s election.

"I'd like to 'sound the alarm' on Joe Biden: he's likely to win next week's presidential election," wrote Wasserman, who is the U.S. House editor for Cook Political Report.

Wasserman detailed several reasons why Biden has a better chance of defeating Trump than Hillary Clinton did in 2016.

"Biden's lead is larger and much more stable than Clinton's was at this point," Wasserman wrote in NBC News, adding that "there are far fewer undecided and third-party voters left to woo — reducing the chances of a late break toward one side."

He also emphasized that "the scores of district and state-level polls conducted by the parties to make spending decisions in down-ballot races generally align with national polls showing Trump running behind his 2016 pace, including in key states."

In 2016, Wasserman not only correctly predicted that Trump would emerge victorious, but also wrote in FiveThirtyEight two months before the election that there is an "unusually high chance Donald Trump could win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote," which is exactly what ended up happening.

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Politics
Political commentator Dave Wasserman, who was one of the few experts to correctly forecast President Donald Trump's surprise victory four years ago, has sent out a tweet predicting it is likely that Democrat contender Joe Biden will win next week's election. "I'd like to...
dave wasserman, cook political report, prediction, 2016 election
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2020-09-28
Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:09 PM
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