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WashPost Blogger Cillizza: Very Credible Path for a Trump Win

Image: WashPost Blogger Cillizza: Very Credible Path for a Trump Win

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By    |   Monday, 01 Aug 2016 09:10 PM

 
Donald Trump has an "entirely plausible" path to winning the 270 electoral votes needed for a White House victory, according to Washington Post blogger Chris Cillizza.

Citing a New York Times analysis asserting that a narrow path to victory for Trump would depend on his sweeping three big swing states — Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, Cillizza declares that scenario "is not pie in the sky."

Cillizza notes Democrats have won 18 states, plus the District of Columbia — accounting for 242 electoral votes — in every presidential election since 1992.

The GOP nominee has won 13 states in every one of those six elections, for a total of 102 electoral votes.

But "that so-called 'Blue Wall' has almost nothing to do with Trump," he writes.

"For all of the worry about the Blue Wall and Trump's historically poor numbers among Hispanics, the path laid out by the Times for Trump to get to 270 electoral votes is entirely plausible."

An electoral map with Trump winning Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania — and assuming nothing else changes from the 2012 election — gives Trump 273 electoral votes, to Clinton's 265, he notes.

"Polling — at least as of today — suggests that Trump is very much in the game against Clinton in all three" of the blue-collar swing states, he adds.

"The map … is not pie-in-the-sky for Trump and Republicans," he writes. "A credible path to 270 electoral votes still exists for Trump."

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Donald Trump has an entirely plausible path to winning the 270 electoral votes needed for a White House victory, according to Washington Post blogger Chris Cillizza.Citing a New York Times analysis asserting that a narrow path to victory for Trump would depend on his...
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Monday, 01 Aug 2016 09:10 PM
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