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Bookies Uncertain Trump Will Be GOP Nominee

Image: Bookies Uncertain Trump Will Be GOP Nominee
Donald Trump (Photo by Gabe Souza/Portland Press Herald via Getty Images)

By    |   Friday, 04 Mar 2016 05:51 PM

The chances of Donald Trump winning the GOP presidential nomination aren't quite such a good bet anymore, according to a wagering aggregate website.

PredictWise puts Trump's probability to be party's standard-bearer at 69 percent Friday, dropping from a high of 86 percent after his commanding performance in Super Tuesday voting.

The fall was the steepest in Trump's chances since his second-place showing in the Iowa caucuses Feb. 1, the New York Post reports.

On PredictIt, a site aggregated into PredictWise probability, Trump's chances were 70 percent early Friday, up slightly from late Thursday, when they fell to 68 percent, their lowest since Feb. 23. PredictIt is operated by Victoria University in New Zealand, the Post reports.

Ireland's PaddyPower, which express candidates' prospects as traditional sports-betting odds, show Trump' as a 2-to-5 favorite compared with a 1-to-7 favorite right after Super Tuesday.

Meanwhile, chances Trump will launch a third-party candidacy are inching up, though it remains a long shot, the Post reports, citing PredictIt's figuring of a Trump independent run at 17 percent Friday, up from 10 percent a week ago.

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The chances of Donald Trump winning the GOP presidential nomination aren't quite such a good bet anymore, according to a wagering aggregate website.
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2016-51-04
Friday, 04 Mar 2016 05:51 PM
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