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Democrat Insiders Predict Biden Won't Run

Democrat Insiders Predict Biden Won't Run
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By    |   Saturday, 05 September 2015 01:00 PM

Many Democratic Party insiders believe Hillary Clinton remains a strong candidate for the White House and predict Vice President Joe Biden won't challenge her for the party's nomination.

"For all the bedwetting Democrat stories, there haven't been this stampede of people who said they are going to leave the Clinton campaign or are upset," said one of more than a dozen party strategists who spoke to The Hill about a potential Biden campaign.

Most of the strategists, speaking anonymously, said they don't believe Biden can pull together a campaign this close to the Iowa caucuses, which will begin on Feb. 1.

Talk of a Biden candidacy has grown as Clinton's poll numbers have dropped because of her ongoing email scandal, but still, she is topping major national polls over the wide field of GOP candidates seeking the nomination, even though her lead is narrowing.

But Biden still has many advantages, including seeming "authentic" in a year in which authenticity is prize, a Democratic former presidential strategist told The Hill.

However, another strategist said Biden's numbers would drop when he'd make his announcement, and many of those questioned don't believe that Biden could come to play in early primary states.

In addition, Sanders is already drawing the anti-Clinton vote, while Biden may be seen as being too close to the Obama administration and to Clinton herself.

Biden also has not set up any campaign organizations and hasn't been fundraising to raise the money needed to mount a national campaign, especially considering his organization would have to pay for part of the security he'd need as a sitting vice president.

Biden's personal life could also come into play, as he is still grieving the death of his oldest son, Beau, who begged him to run for office. Biden said this week that the decision will depend on his family's "emotional energy."

Two of the strategists interviewed by The Hill said they do not believe Biden will give up on his presidential ambitions after years of wanting to win the White House.

Also, they don't believe money will come into play, pointing out that on the GOP side, Donald Trump has raised very little money and is winning, while Jeb Bush has $103 million and is running behind Trump in all national polls.

One of the strategists also said Biden's chances are better now as a vice president than they were in 2007, when he was a senator chairing the Foreign Relations committee.

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Many Democratic Party insiders believe Hillary Clinton remains a strong candidate for the White House and predict Vice President Joe Biden won't challenge her for the party's nomination.
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2015-00-05
Saturday, 05 September 2015 01:00 PM
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