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Tags: 2020 Elections | Joe Biden | Polls | bernie sanders | caucuses | democrats | nevada

Nevada Entrance Poll: Bernie Leads in First Preference

bernie sanders pumps his left fist high into the air
Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt. (Matt Rourke/AP)

By    |   Saturday, 22 February 2020 04:16 PM

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., is leading in first preference in Saturday's Nevada Democratic Caucuses, according to Edison Media Research's entrance poll based on interviews with early voters and caucus attendees.

The poll measures just first preferences, while it does not take into account how support for the candidates will change during proceedings in the individual caucus sites, noted The Washington Post, as supporters of the candidates not meeting a minimum threshold can shift to support another candidate.

In first results, Sanders was ahead at almost half the vote, with just a few precincts reporting. His nearest competitor at that point was former Vice President Joe Biden, at 33%.

Sanders took the first and second Iowa caucuses' rounds, but former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg handily took more delegates, winning 60 counties to 18 for Sanders. 

If Sanders wins Nevada, it will show he can compete in racially diverse states. In 2016, Hillary Clinton defeated him by 77% to 19% with voters of color over the age of 45 but only won narrowly with younger, nonwhite voters.

The bulk of the actual results are not expected to start coming in for at least an hour as voters meet at more than 250 sites around the state to make their pick for a Democratic challenger to President Donald Trump in the Nov. 3 election.

In the final result of a caucus at the Bellagio hotel on the Las Vegas strip, Sanders finished with 76 votes, former Vice President Joe Biden had 45, and no other candidate ended with a vote.

Workers at the hotel who are members of the Culinary Workers Union streamed out of the caucus after backing Sanders despite their leadership expressing reservations about his healthcare plan.

“I went for Bernie, I’m not big into politics, but I like the things he’s going for: student loan debt, schools, free healthcare,” said Aleiza Smith, 22, a housekeeper at the Bellagio.

The entrance poll showed six in 10 Nevada voters at the caucuses backed the Medicare for All proposal, a version of which is also supported by another candidate, Senator Elizabeth Warren.

Six out of 10 caucus-goers want someone who can beat Trump more than someone who agrees with them on major issues, according to the poll by Edison Research.

Sanders, a self-identified democratic socialist, has surged to the top of opinion polls nationally and in Nevada after strong performances in the first two nominating contests in Iowa and New Hampshire earlier this month.

The Nevada caucuses came a day after the news broke that Sanders had been briefed by U.S. officials that Russia was trying to help his campaign as part of an effort to interfere with the Democratic nominating contest.

The poll showed Sanders leading in Nevada with Hispanics, union families, and white college-educated women. Around 54% of Latino voters said they backed him, while 24% of college-educated white women and 34% of those who have a union member in their families supported him.

While Sanders' rivals will try to blunt his momentum in the caucuses, they each face significant challenges of their own.

Biden and Warren are looking to jump-start struggling campaigns after poor finishes in the first two states, while former South Bend, Indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg and Senator Amy Klobuchar are hoping to prove they can appeal to Nevada's more diverse electorate.

On Friday evening, Sanders spoke to about 2,000 people in Las Vegas, revving up the crowd with vows to take on "the corporate elite" and the "whole damn 1%."

Trump, who lost Nevada to Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016, tweeted on Saturday that he expected to win in Nevada in the general election in November and alluded to the reports that a Russian disinformation effort was supporting Sanders.


Four days of early voting in Nevada this week drew more than 75,000 Democrats, more than half first-time voters, putting the party in position to surpass the turnout record of 118,000 in 2008, when Barack Obama's candidacy electrified the party.

After days of delay and mistrust caused by a technical meltdown during the Iowa caucuses, Nevada Democratic Party officials said in a memo to campaigns on Friday that a telephone hotline many volunteers "were already familiar with" would be the main method of reporting precinct caucus results, not digital tools.

Precinct chairs will also text a photo of their caucus reporting sheet as part of efforts to strengthen the processes.

At a Democratic debate in Nevada on Wednesday, candidates launched scathing attacks on Michael Bloomberg, the billionaire former mayor of New York City, who has been rising in the polls on the back of a self-funded advertising blitz but is not competing in Nevada.

Warren's campaign said on Saturday it had raised $14 million ahead of the caucuses, double a target it set after a lackluster performance in New Hampshire, and fueled by donations following her fiery debate barrage aimed at Bloomberg.

The next primary will be Feb. 29 in South Carolina, followed by the Super Tuesday contests in 14 states on March 3 that pick more than one-third of the pledged delegates who will help select a Democratic nominee.

Nevada is the first nominating state with a diverse population after contests in predominantly white Iowa and New Hampshire.

Reuters contributed to this report.

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Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., is leading in first preference in Saturday's Nevada Democratic Caucuses, according to Edison Media Research's entrance poll based on interviews with early voters and caucus attendees. 
bernie sanders, caucuses, democrats, nevada
Saturday, 22 February 2020 04:16 PM
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