Forty-seven percent of Arizona’s likely voters back Republican Martha McSally in the Arizona Senate race compared to 41 percent who support Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, according to a new ABC15/OH Predictive Insights poll.
The poll revealed McSally is increasing her support. A September ABC15/OHPI poll showed her leading 49-46 percent.
Pollster Mike Noble credited the Brett Kavanaugh Supreme Court nomination with helping McSally increase her lead.
"What we saw all year was Republicans were less united compared to Democrats, who were more united or fully united," Noble said.
"So, whether they disliked Trump or had issues with the establishment, now what we've seen is (the) Kavanaugh confirmation process has really brought all those Republicans home and has solidified the Republican base, hence why you're seeing all the favorable numbers toward McSally."
But he added: "Since Kavanaugh now has been confirmed, will that hold from now until Election Day?”
The poll, conducted Oct. 1-2, surveyed 600 people. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.
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