Tags: 2020 Elections | Donald Trump | Trump Administration | trump | economy | voters | 2020 election

Analysis: Small Group of Voters Who Dislike Trump Could Be Key in 2020

Voting booths in Florida
Voting booths in Florida (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

By    |   Monday, 22 July 2019 06:14 AM

A small group of Americans who disapprove of President Donald Trump overall and almost unanimously approve of the way he is handling the economy could be the difference-makers in the upcoming presidential election, the Hill reports.

An analysis of six polls conducted by Navigator Research found that 6% of voters are conflicted by Trump's character and some of his policies. Yet, 69% from that segment only trust Trump to handle the economy.

"There is little doubt that this is the key group of swing voters in 2020, mainly because Democrats are making zero effort to get the other group of swing voters, the blue-collar ancestral Democrats who voted for Obama and Trump," Brad Todd, a Republican consultant who spent 2018 conducting focus groups with these types of voters, told the Hill.

Vote preference among the group, titled "the conflicted" by Navigator, changed between the last two national elections.

Twenty-nine percent report supporting a candidate other Hillary Clinton or Trump in 2016, while 22% switched from supporting either Trump or a third-party candidate in 2016 to voting for a Democratic House candidate in 2018.

The biggest difference between "the conflicted" and the rest of the country is that 64% are men. Additionally, 70% earn $50,000 a year or more and 60% live in suburban areas.

The voters are a "suburban, affluent type of person who's probably doing OK but is very troubled by the president's behavior and everything they see from him all the time," Nick Gourevitch, a pollster at Global Strategy Group who helped conduct the analysis, told The Hill. "There are people out there who feel good about the economy but really don't like the president. Are those people really going to vote to reelect the guy?"

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A small group of Americans might ultimately be the difference-makers in the upcoming presidential election, a new analysis found.
trump, economy, voters, 2020 election
Monday, 22 July 2019 06:14 AM
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