A new story makes the case that Texas Sen. Ted Cruz could win the Republican presidential nomination at the convention this summer because of how the voting went in both Iowa and the U.S Virgin Islands.
The Washington Post's Philip Bump writes that Cruz' surprise win at the Iowa caucuses shows he has the ability to pull off unexpected wins — which could happen at the convention,
should it be a contested one.
Regarding the Virgin Islands, the delegate count — which is currently in limbo because of
potential rule violations — is as follows: two uncommitted votes, two for Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, one for Cruz, and one for Donald Trump. If Trump fails to reach 1,237 delegate votes after the primaries, he will not have the nomination wrapped up. That means those few votes from the Virgin Islands could mean a lot.
The Post takes a closer look at the Louisiana primary, which was split at 18 delegates each to Trump and Cruz. Rubio, who suspended his campaign last week after failing to win his home state, earned five votes in Louisiana. Those would likely go to Cruz at the convention, as would Rubio's two votes in the Virgin Islands.
There are other states in which Rubio's votes could be transferred into Cruz votes.
The race for the Republican nomination will likely come down to a handful of votes, whether it's Trump reaching 1,237 before the convention or someone winning at the convention. Prognosticators have been
assessing the situation all week, trying to predict whether Trump will wrap it up before the summer.
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