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Optimism Abates For Self-Driving Cars Anytime Soon

Optimism Abates For Self-Driving Cars Anytime Soon
(AP)

By    |   Sunday, 21 July 2019 09:54 PM

The automobile industry overestimated the arrival of self-driving cars, with companies admitting that making them is going to be harder, slower and costlier than they thought just a short time ago, The New York Times has reported.

“We overestimated the arrival of autonomous vehicles,” Ford’s chief executive Jim Hackett said.

It was only a year ago that some insisted that the age of autonomous cars would begin with thousands of self-driving taxis on the road already in 2019.

But now Argo AI chief executive Bryan Salesky said creating driverless cars that could go anywhere was “way in the future.”

As a sign of the much lowered expectations, Ford and Volkswagen said they are teaming up to use Argo technology in ride-sharing services in a few urban zones as early as 2021.

The largest obstacle to success is irrational human behavior, with Salesky explaining that “You see all kinds of crazy things on the road, and it turns out they’re not all that infrequent, but you have to be able to handle all of them. With radar and high-resolution cameras and all the computing power we have, we can detect and identify the objects on a street. The hard part is anticipating what they’re going to do next.”

Virtually alone in the industry for continued optimism is Tesla chief executive Elon Musk, who insists there will be widespread use of self-driving cars within the next year, with Tesla having as many as a million autonomous “robo taxis” by the end of 2020.

However, as Tech Crunch points out, in 2015 Musk predicted his company’s cars would be fully autonomous by 2017. 

This, of course, turned out to be incorrect, and most industry experts are equally skeptical of Tesla’s latest optimism.

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The automobile industry overestimated the arrival of self-driving cars, with companies admitting that making them is going to be harder, slower and costlier than they thought just a short time ago, The New York Times has reported."We overestimated the arrival of autonomous...
self, drivingcars, telsa, robotaxies, elonmusk
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2019-54-21
Sunday, 21 July 2019 09:54 PM
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