Tags: midterms | gop | competitive | midterms | poll

RealClearPolitics Chief: GOP Leads in Competitive Districts

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By    |   Monday, 22 October 2018 11:12 AM

Democrats have lost their generic ballot lead in competitive House districts for the upcoming midterms, RealClearPolitics president Tom Bevan told “Fox & Friends” on Monday, calling it a “good sign for Republicans” with elections so close.

Bevan said that although Democrats have a 9 percentage-point advantage in a generic ballot nationwide, Republican actually hold a 45 percent to 44 percent lead in the 69 most competitive districts.

“What that suggests is that Democrats are overperforming in very blue districts, very blue states, but not as much in some of these more competitive districts," Bevan said. “And that’s a good sign for Republicans I think, just two weeks before the election.”

When he was asked if he agreed with the general consensus that a high turnout would favor Democrats, Bevan said that it depends on the area, explaining that “if it’s a Republican-leaning district, a Republican-leading state, a big turnout would probably be good for Republicans.”

Bevan cautioned against putting too much trust in any one poll, but said the numbers in surveys overall are trending toward the GOP.

As for the most important issues in the midterms, Bevan said that “healthcare definitely seems to be in all these races. Everybody’s talking about it. We saw it in the Florida’s governor race last night — the debate.”

He also noted that the economy is a strong factor, with The Wall Street Journal survey showing that “Republicans have the best rating on the economy that they’ve ever had in the history of that poll.”

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RealClearPolitics president Tom Bevan says Democrats have lost their generic ballot lead in competitive House districts for the upcoming midterms.
midterms, gop, competitive, midterms, poll
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2018-12-22
Monday, 22 October 2018 11:12 AM
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