Democrats are leading the Senate and gubernatorial races in the key battleground state of Florida — though the advantage is within the margin of error, a new poll found.
According to the Marist survey for NBC News, incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla. — whose bid could help decide which party controls the Senate — has the support of 48 percent of likely Florida voters, while Gov. Rick Scott, R-Fla., has 45 percent. Six percent say they are undecided.
Among the larger pool of registered voters, Nelson leads by 5 points, 48 percent to 43 percent — essentially unchanged from his 4-point edge in a June poll, NBC News reported.
The entire survey's margin of error was plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
In Florida's high-profile gubernatorial race, Democrat Andrew Gillum is ahead of Republican Ron DeSantis by 5 points, 48 percent to 43 percent among likely voters. Among all registered voters, Gillum's advantage expands to 8 points, 49 percent to 41 percent.
"The political environment in Florida, overall, is tipping in the Democrats' favor," Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, told NBC News.
The poll also found in the Senate race:
- Among likely voters, Nelson leads with African-Americans (78 percent to 15 percent), young voters ages 18-29 (65 percent to 30 percent), Latinos (57 percent to 37 percent), Independents (53 percent to 37 percent), and women (53 percent to 40 percent).
- Among likely voters, Scott is ahead with whites (52 percent to 40 percent), men (50 percent to 42 percent), and those 45 and older (48 percent to 45 percent).
- 44 percent of likely voters hold a favorable view of Nelson, versus 36 percent who have a negative view of the incumbent, while 46 percent have a favorable view of Scott compared with 45 percent with a negative view.
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