Pennsylvania may be the key to not just President Donald Trump’s re-election, but its 20 electoral votes could turn the victory into a landslide. And he would have the Democratic Party to thank for it.
Some observers thought Trump’s 2016 Pennsylvania win was a fluke. He only won by a plurality, 48.2 percent to Democrat Hillary Clinton’s 47.5 — a 0.7 percent and 44,332 vote margin out of more than 6 million cast.
It was the first time a Republican presidential candidate had taken the Keystone State in 28 years, when George H.W. Bush squeaked past Michael Dukakis there in 1988.
As it turned out, Trump really didn’t need Pennsylvania to win — but it was a sweet capper to the evening. To show his appreciation, he held a Dec. 15, 2016, pre-inaugural rally in Hershey.
Morning Consult reports that since then, his net approval in Pennsylvania has declined by 17 points. Seventeen points from a razor-thin plurality victory would give him a goose egg in 2020.
In addition, after Speaker Nancy Pelosi- D-Calif., announced that the House would take up an impeachment inquiry, FiveThirtyEight launched a polling tracker on the issue, revealing that impeaching the president is gaining in popularity.
It’s a good thing Trump doesn’t take much stock in polls.
After his December 2016 Hershey event, the president has hosted five more Keystone State rallies: In Harrisburg, Moon Township, Wilkes-Barre, and Erie before officially kicking off his 2020 campaign. Afterwards he held a May 20, 2019, Montoursville rally, and more will be announced in the next 13 months.
But more importantly, Democrats are also chipping into the Trump campaign effort, which is good because despite not needing Pennsylvania in 2016, the state is turning out to be a “must win” for both sides in the next election.
Pennsylvania Democrats all agreed back in April that they were ready to back any Democratic candidate who could beat Trump — whatever his ideology. But as their candidates’ ideology gets pushed further leftward, they’re developing sticker shock.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren, the Massachusetts Democrat who’s now edging into the frontrunner position, is especially problematic.
Apart from her barely passing acquaintance with the truth is her stance on the issues.
Warren’s socialist ideology includes open borders, Medicare for all including illegal immigrants, “free” college education, and taxing the wealthy out of existence. But Pennsylvania Democrats are especially appalled by Warren’s promise to end fracking on day-1 as president.
Fracking is the process used to extract oil or gas by injecting liquid into the ground at high pressure. Western Pennsylvania is oil country, and paychecks and profits trump party politics.
The Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman observed that if Warren is nominated, that would spell her death in Pennsylvania.
“Spent yesterday w/ a group of mostly union, anti-Trump Ds in western PA. Massive concerns about how a Warren nomination (esp. pledge to ban fracking on day one) would play out in the region,” he reported. “Don't underestimate how many voters in SWPA, etc. there are still left for Ds to lose.”
Wasserman then gave an example:
“2016 Clinton votes in the city of Philadelphia: 584,025,” he observed. “2016 Clinton votes in western PA *outside* the city of Pittsburgh: 631,120. Yes, there's still a lot of room for Dems to fall.”
In addition, despite impeachment gaining in popularity, A.B. Stoddard predicted in a RealClearPolitics column that the Democrats’ rush to impeach the president would be a huge mistake for a laundry list of reasons.
And it already may be falling apart. House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff, D-Calif., announced Sunday that the whistleblower, who’s at the center of the impeachment probe, may not testify out of a concern that he “is protected.”
This should be enough to make every person, whatever his party stripes, ask what all the sound and fury over the last few weeks has been about.
Moreover, Fox Business host Maria Bartiromo reported something damning for Democrats. The Justice Department’s inspector general’s report is expected to be released Friday, October 18, and it’s reportedly “as thick as a telephone book [and] more than just FISA abuse” — which is what led to the Obama administration’s alleged spying of the Trump campaign.
That’s not going to give Democrats in Pennsylvania or elsewhere a case of the “warm and fuzzies.” Deep down all Americans want justice and a fair playing field.
There’s one funny thing to come out of it, though. The out-lefting between Warren and fellow presidential hopeful Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., reached absurdity when he gave her what he believed was the ultimate insult.
Socialist Sanders criticized socialist Warren by calling socialist warren a capitalist, thus proving that the Democratic Party has finally fallen off the cliff.
In short, the party of Jefferson, Jackson, and JFK has abandoned the party faithful.
Michael Dorstewitz is a retired lawyer and has been a frequent contributor to BizPac Review and Liberty Unyielding. He is also a former U.S. Merchant Marine officer and an enthusiastic Second Amendment supporter, who can often be found honing his skills at the range. To read more of his reports — Click Hee Now.
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