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Tags: hezbollah | idf | kochavi | fakhrizadeh | revolution | shah

Iran Threat Will Be Met More Than Equally by US, Israel

Iran Threat Will Be Met More Than Equally by US, Israel


Micah Halpern By Thursday, 24 December 2020 06:47 AM Current | Bio | Archive

Tensions between Israel and Iran are frequently high.

It’s been this way since the fall of the Shah during the harrowing Islamic Revolution of 1979.

But now, as we are on the cusp of 2021, tensions are so high that there is a fear — a realistic one — that a direct military confrontation may be imminent.

This current state of tensions has spiraled almost, but not quite (we hope)  out of control.

Of course, the possibility of conflict is frightening. No one wants this scenario. 

Thus, in a last ditch effort, Israelis are trying to dial back the rhetoric, the put the genie back in the bottle, which is no easy feat.

What is the "language" one speaks to Iran?

They speak military and they speak economic. Sanctions spoke to their economy.

Sanctions speak power. What's happening now, speaks directly to the military.

Israeli Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi delivered a message to Iran.

Because Israel and Iran cannot, or do not, ever speak directly to one another, he used the opportunity of addressing a ceremony rewarding soldiers who showed exceptional skills and talent to drive home his point.

Kochavi decalred, "Recently, we have heard increased threats from Iran against the State of Israel. If Iran and its partners, members of the radical axis [Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and Palestinian terror groups], whether in the first circle of states or the second, carry out actions against Israel, they will discover their partnership to be very costly."

Kochavi did not stop there.

He continued, telling the Iranians, who we know pay attention when Israel’s chief of staff speaks, that Israel has not only prepared plans. but has also practiced them.

Kochavi subsequently added, "The IDF will forcefully attack anyone who takes part, from near or far, in activities against the State of Israel or Israeli targets. I am saying this plainly and am describing the situation as it is — the response and all the plans have been prepared and practiced."

The last straw for Iran was the assassination of the founder and leader of their nuclear weapons program, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh. They claim to have already begun.

They made arrests already and will strike at those responsible.

They have promised to avenge his murder. All fingers point at Israel.

Complicating the situation, the United States, aka Israel’s big brother on issues relating to Iran, made an unusual, if not highly unusual, statement.

The U.S. Navy announced that the USS Georgia, anuclear submarine, was in the Straits of Hormuz off the coast of Iran. They said that the sub was escorted by two guided missile cruisers and they also released the names of those cruisers also, the USS Port Royal and the USS Philippine Sea.

The statement read, "The nuclear-power Ohio-class guided-missile submarine USS Georgia (SSGN 729), along with the guided-missile cruisers USS Port Royal (CG 73) and USS Philippine Sea (CG 58), transited the Strait of Hormuz entering the Arabian Gulf, Dec. 21".

t should be noted, U.S. nuclear subs are virtually undetectable. They can remain under water forever. That is their strength, and their secret.

A nuclear sub of this type carries at least 154 tomahawk smart missiles. In addition to its crew, aboard this submarine are 66 special forces units. These special forces are a part of the unique and secret nature of this nuclear weapon.

Providing information about one of the United State’s most impressive weapons and announcing its whereabouts, was a direct message to Iran.

Thus, the United States is in effect decalring to Iran: "We’re here — beware."

And if the message from the United States was not clear enough and warning enough for Iran, Israel chimed in also. Israel announced that one of their advanced submarines is also in the area. They announced that the Israeli sub crossed through the Suez Canal on its way to the Persian Gulf or, as the Sunnis call it, the Arabian Gulf.

In order for any Israeli submarine to cross through the Suez Canal the Egyptians needed to be informed. This sub surfaced in order to pass through the Canal.

It also surfaced as it approached the Arabian Gulf.

These parallel submarine gestures were clearly coordinated.

In action and in word, the United States and Israel were making a statement.

Iran has been behind three attacks against U.S. facilities since October.

The latest attack took place this week and it was an attack against the U.S. embassy in Iraq.

Iran is restless, so Iranian leadership is making bold gestures.

The intensity and frequency of their attacks against U.S. interests will increase.

The question with no immediate answer for is whether they will Iran be satisfied with these small scale strikes against their nemesis the United States, or whether they will they escalate their targets and their firepower.

If Iran decides to escalate, the United States and or Israel will strike back.

It can be safely assumed that Israel and the United States have a prepared a target list they will strike, should Iran attack. The list has been evaluated and approved. A response is a certainty. The choice of which target is still to be determined. The decision will be dependent upon the strength of the message the United States and Israel want to send.

Iran has been warned. Now we wait and we watch.

Micah Halpern is a political and foreign affairs commentator. He founded "The Micah Report" and hosts "Thinking Out Loud with Micah Halpern" a weekly TV program and "My Chopp" a daily radio spot. A dynamic speaker, he specializes in analyzing world events and evaluating their relevance and impact. Follow him on Twitter @MicahHalpern. Read Micah Halpern's Reports — More Here.

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What is the "language" one speaks to Iran? They speak military and they speak economic. Sanctions spoke to their economy. Sanctions speak power. What's happening now, speaks directly to the military.
hezbollah, idf, kochavi, fakhrizadeh, revolution, shah
Thursday, 24 December 2020 06:47 AM
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